The case for the underdog started with a question: why is Michigan favored at all? Iowa visits Ann Arbor, MI on Saturday, September 26 at 12:30 PM PT / 3:30 PM ET as a 4.5-point dog, total 37.5, and all three voices on College Football Picks Week 4 thought the number had it backwards.

Iowa vs Michigan Odds

The guys played Michigan -4.5 with a total of 37.5.

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Iowa’s offense drew the first compliment. This team now knows how to score points, was the pitch, and Colby pushed it further, saying he thinks Iowa’s offense is surprisingly better than Oklahoma’s. Then came the coaching angle. On the show, Iowa’s head coach was credited with an 8-4-1 record against the spread as a road dog since 2021, which made taking the points feel like the natural starting place.

Michigan’s recent tape took a beating. UTEP, of all opponents, was described as pushing Michigan around physically while the refs bailed them out with flag after flag. The verdict on the Michigan quarterback was blunt, and the head coach was called out of his depth, with open doubt he makes it to a second season.

Colby liked the matchup for Iowa’s defense against Michigan’s quarterback, and he wasn’t buying Michigan’s last win either. Take away the pick six, he said, and that one was headed to overtime.

The only point raised for Michigan was that it’s at home and might get some friendly calls. Nobody bit. Iowa on the money line got a mention too, and Michigan went onto the show’s hate list, to be faded every week from here on out.

Hear the full breakdown on the College Football Picks Week 4 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our College Football Picks.

Listen to the full episode

More Week 4 College Football Picks

Liberty vs Coastal Carolina

Army vs Temple

Northwestern vs Indiana

Clemson vs California

Texas vs Tennessee

Wake Forest vs Louisville

Ole Miss vs Florida

Oklahoma vs Georgia

Boise State vs Western Michigan

Wisconsin vs Penn State

Utah vs Iowa State

South Carolina vs Alabama

Kansas State vs Cincinnati

Oklahoma State vs West Virginia

Texas A&M vs LSU

Oregon vs USC

Missouri vs Mississippi State

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