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Super Bowl Props Best Bets: Bengals vs. Rams

Super Bowl Props Best Bets

AND HERE WE GO…The final game of the 2021-2022 season is just days away and the last props article from me for this season! The Super Bowl is a prop bettor’s dream with the number of prop bets that are offered. Below you will find all the prop bets between the Bengals and Rams! I have already wagered on. Keep in mind some numbers may have moved. Let me dive right into it!

Super Bowl Game Information:

Location: Inglewood, California– SoFi Stadium

Time: 6:30 p.m. Eastern Time (3:30 p.m. Pacific Time)

TV: NBC

Money Line: Rams (-195) | Bengals (+170)

Spread: Rams -4.5

Total: 48.5

Odds Via:  WynnBET Sportsbook 

 

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Over 26.5 Receiving Yards

Joe Mixon emerged as a pass-catching back for the Bengals this season and I had this as one of my player props last week it did fall a little short but this number has come down a bit at 26.5. However, Mixon in all three playoff games has gone over this projection for the Bengals. He also has five or more targets in his last five games dating back to the regular season but also has five or more targets in two of the three playoff games.

Further, the Rams defense dating back to the final game of the regular season has allowed opposing running backs to get over this projection in every game. In each of the last two weeks of the playoff games, the Rams have allowed opposing running backs to eclipse this projection. Leonard Fournette had 56 receiving yards and last week Elijah Mitchell got loose for 50 receiving yards as well. In all the games this season for the Rams running backs averaged close to 39 receiving yards.

Rams Total Sacks Over 3.5

I think this game is going to be won in the trenches and the line of scrimmage. We have seen over the playoff run that the offensive line hasn’t done a great job blocking for Joe Burrow. If we look at the numbers from the season, the Rams are #1 in team pass rush win rate, #1 in run stop win rate and the Rams finished the season #5 in defensive DVOA. Further, the Bengals on the season ranked #30 in pass block win rate. Let’s also not forget that the Titans were able to sack Joey B nine times in that game. Now, they have to go up against the best defensive player in the game Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and Leonard Floyd.

Matthew Stafford Over 5.5 Rushing Yards

I was surprised to see the number of rush attempts Matthew Stafford has in the three playoff games this season. During the regular season, Stafford has a total of 32 rush attempts which equated to 43 yards. However, so far in the three playoff games he has 15 rush attempts for 36 total yards. In fact, Stafford rushed for 22 against the Cardinals, six against the Bucs, and eight against the 49ers last weekend.

It seems like Stafford is willing to pull the ball down and take what’s in front of him instead of making an errant throw and throwing an interception. Bengals defense allowed 20 rushing yards to Derek Carr, 12 to Ryan Tannehill, and 19 to Patrick Mahomes. Now I know we have the potential of Stafford kneeling it down at the end of the game but I believe asking Stafford to get six is not a tall order.

points bet free bet

Highest Scoring Half: 2nd Half

It is no secret that Super Bowl games tend to start off slow. We have seen this to be with the case with Patriots. Further, in the course of the history of the Super Bowl, the first half averages 20.5 points and the second half close to 27 points. Additionally, thus far in the playoffs, all three games for the Rams have seen the second half be higher scoring. In fact, in the three playoff games for the Rams, their games averaged 20.3 points in the 1st half and 26 in the 2nd half. Further, during the regular season both the Rams and Bengals averaged more points in the 2nd half of games. I love this Super Bowl Prop bet!

Bengals Total Net Offensive Yards Under 365.5

In three playoff games this season, the Bengals have been outgained by their opponents in each game. Further, the Bengals did not eclipse this number in any of the playoff games. The most offensive yardage they had was 359 against the Chiefs which went to overtime. Additionally, the Rams allowed 183 to the Cardinals, 359 to the Buccaneers, and 282 to the 49ers. I believe the Rams defensive line will dictate the game in this game and should limit the Bengals offense. I love this Super Bowl prop bet to stay under!

Rams Total Rushing Yards Over 110.5

This is a game where I believe Sean McVay will play time of possession and slow it down. I believe the Rams will run the ball and keep Burrow and the Bengals off the field. Additionally, the Bengals rush defense has not been great this season and during the playoffs as well. The Bengals allowed the Raiders to rush for 103, 140 to the Titans and 139 to the Chiefs.

Furthermore, the Bengals during the season ranked #24 in opponent yards per rush attempt. In the playoffs the Bengals rush defense allowed opponents to average the following per carry: 7.4, 5.4, and 5.8. I expect both Michel and Akers to get busy for the Rams rush offense.

Cam Akers Longest Rush Attempt Over 13.5 Yards

As I mentioned above, the Bengals defense has struggled against opposing running backs. Further, in the three playoff games, the Bengals have allowed opposing running backs in every game to have a rush attempt of over 13.5. In fact, the Bengals rush defense allowed two different running backs to break a rush for 35 and 45 yards. Cam Akers has rush attempts of 14 yards or more in two of the three playoff games.

Other Prop Bets:

  • Cincinnati Bengals Over 1.5 Field Goals
  • Cincinnati Bengals 1st Score Field Goal +120
  • Rams more 1st downs -155
  • Cam Akers MVP +3500

 

 

NFL Playoff Player Props Record: 6-4 (60%)

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