Some people like to sweat out a bet for 9 hard innings – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with MLB NRFI and YRFI picks. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our NRFI bets for April 20. Go here for MLB World Series odds.
Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the best hitting team or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these NRFI and YRFI props for April 20. Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.
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MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – April 20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
First Pitch – 6:40 pm EST
Great American Ball Park – Cincinnati, Ohio
Broadcast – MLB TV
No team in the majors has been worse at scoring runs in the first inning than the Reds. They are averaging just 0.11 runs per game. Their luck is unlikely to get better against Patrick Sandoval, who has looked solid in his last couple outings. He is coming off a game against the Rays where he allowed just one earned run over five innings. After allowing a first inning run in his first game of the year, he hasn’t allowed one over the last three.
The Angels are an average team when it comes to scoring runs – they are 15th in the league in runs scored. Graham Ashcraft has looked phenomenal in two of his three starts. The Brewers, who are third in the league in runs scored, got to him in his second start. If you remove that game, he’s had a 2.31 ERA outside of it. This Angels offense should have trouble getting to him, which should lead us to a NRFI here.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for April 20: No (-105)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
First Pitch – 7:10 pm EST
Kauffman Stadium – Kansas City, Missouri
Broadcast – MLB TV
Both of these teams have actually been fairly solid when it comes to early scoring. Each is scoring in the first inning right around a quarter of the time. However, my lean to the NRFI play here has nothing to do with the offense. Instead, this is all about the pitching matchup.
Corbin Burnes has been outstanding for the Orioles. He’s thrown 23.2 innings and has 25 strikeouts. His ERA sits at just 2.28 on the year and the outside metrics suggest it could be better. He’s opponent has better numbers in pretty much every category. Cole Ragans has thrown 23.1 innings and has 29 strikeouts. His 1.93 ERA is a touch better and he’s held his opponents scoreless in two of his last three starts. This should be one of the easier NRFIs out ther.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for April 20: No (-140)
If you’d like even more info to help make your NRFI picks for April 20, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their MLB picks today.
