As NBA and NHL conclude, you may be wondering what you could be placing your money on. Perhaps you’re betting on the CFL or the closing weeks of the USFL. However, it might be time to take a look at futures bets in the NFL. One futures bet you can look at is the win total for each team. Will your team exceed their predicted win total? Let’s take a look at the top 10 NFL win total bets for 2023.
This year the Cardinals find themselves at the bottom of the list, with an over/under win total of just four-and-a-half games. The defending Super Bowl champions, the Chiefs, find themselves at the top with a win total of 11.5 games. Staying away from the bottom as well as the top, here are ten other win totals I think have a great chance of hitting.
Top 10 NFL Win Total Bets For 2023
10. Atlanta Falcons Over 8.5 (-120)
The next team on the top 10 NFL win total bets is the Atlanta Falcons. Not only do they play in a division that will likely have its struggles, but they should be better than the team that won seven games last year. The Falcons drafted the most talented offensive player in the draft this offseason in Bijan Robinson.
While all eyes will be on Desmond Ridder, and if he can win games, I’m not sure it will matter. Arthur Smith has set this team to run, run, and run some more. They have a good defense and multiple running backs that can get the job done in Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgier, and Cordarelle Patterson. Over 8.5 seems like a good call.
9. Seattle Seahawks Over 8.5 (-155)
The Seahawks won nine games last year. This is the one that I was really on the fence about. However, I think they get it done. They have continued to improve in the offseason, and if Geno can keep playing like he did in the beginning part of 2022, the Seahawks could even push the 49ers in this division. Playing the Cardinals twice always helps, as I think they’ll struggle this year. After all, they are the team predicted to win the least amount of games.
The Seahawks make my top 10 NFL win total bets for 2023 because of the talent they added in the offseason and their schedule. Along with the Cardinals, they play the Panthers, Browns, Commanders, Titans, and Steelers. These all feel like they could be winnable games. Thinking they’ll split with the 49ers, and the Rams puts them exactly at nine wins from the games I listed.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 6.5 (-130)
The Cardinals may be the worst team in the league based on win-total predictions, but the Bucs aren’t far behind them, in my opinion. Life after Tom Brady feels like it will be rough this year anyways. I think the Bucs could end up as the worst team in the league and be in a good position to draft Caleb Williams in next year’s draft.
Last year, the Bucs won eight games. That was with this guy named Tom Brady as their quarterback. Now, they transition to Baker Mayfield, and they would pass their win total by winning one less game than Tom Brady won. That doesn’t seem plausible to me. They start with a tough schedule right away with the Vikings, Bears, and Eagles. They also have games against the Bills, Jaguars, and Lions. This team is set to underperform. Therefore, I like taking the under here.
7. Cleveland Browns Under 9.5 (-140)
A lot of people are expecting good things from the Browns this year. However, when Watson returned last year, he struggled to make a big impact. They play in a tough division with the Bengals, Browns, and Ravens. They also have games against the 49ers, Seahawks, and Jaguars.
If Watson can’t return to his former play and all they have to rely on is Nick Chubb, then the Browns could be in trouble. Their defense is good, but I think 9.5 will be a stretch. Last year they finished with seven wins. Getting them three more wins will be a tough road with their schedule.
6. Las Vegas Raiders Under 7.5 (-190)
Is Jimmy Garoppolo going to be healthy to start the year? If so, will he be able to stay healthy all year? These are questions the Raiders will be asking themselves likely all year. They still have Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams, but they traded Darren Waller away and may not have enough offensive players to make up for the lack of talent among the rest of the receiving core.
They haven’t made a lot of upgrades at defense, either. Last year the Raiders won six games with Carr at the helm for most of the season. So if Jimmy G isn’t healthy, or even if he is, are we sure they can win eight games? I’m not. I think they’ll struggle this year.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars Over 9.5 (-150)
Can the Jaguars win one more game than last year? That’s the question with this line: they finished 9-8 last year. It helps that they are playing the three teams in their division twice a year. The Colts, Titans, and Texans are all hurting while the Jaguars are ascending. They also have games against the Falcons, Browns, Bucs, Panthers, and Saints. These all feel like winnable games this year.
One of the reasons the Jaguars make my top 10 NFL win total bets for 2023 is how they finished the season. After a losing streak, the Jaguars rallied and won six of their last seven games. They also beat the Jaguars in the AFC Wild Card round. This is a team that’s trending up, and they’ve done nothing but help their young quarterback out. Whether it’s adding protection, running back depth, or a receiver like Calvin Ridley, this team should be ready to take another step forward.
They have a strong coaching unit, especially with Doug Pederson entering his second year. Let’s not forget how transformed Wentz looked in Pederson’s second year coaching the Eagles. The quarterback injury argument may also not be relevant. A lot of times, you will hear a team is in trouble if their quarterback gets hurt. Backing Trevor Lawrence up is Nathan Rourke, who looked really good in the CFL last year.
4. Buffalo Bills Over 10.5 Wins (-150)
The Bills won thirteen games last year. They also played one less game than their 17-game schedule after the Bills-Bengals game was canceled. This year, their win total is set at 10.5. Sure, it’s juiced a little to -150 odds. However, what has changed that would cause the Bills to be valued three games less than last year? In my opinion, not enough has changed. Therefore, I have to put them on my top 10 NFL win total bets for 2023.
Yes, they lost a couple of pieces on defense. However, this team runs a great defensive scheme and shouldn’t take too much of a hit. Their offense lost Devin Singletary, but I don’t think that will hurt the team too much. The main playmakers, Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, and Gabe Davis, are still there. If you’re worried Dawson Knox took a step back last year, don’t worry, the Bills drafted Dalton Kincaid in the first round of the NFL draft.
3. Chicago Bears Over 7.5 (-130)
Call it a homer pick if you want, but this team is trending up. Yes, they had a disappointing year last year and finished as the worst team in the league. However, they’ve added receiver help, tight end help, running back help, line help, linebacker, and defensive back help. The defensive line on the outside is the only thing that remains untouched, but I wouldn’t be surprised if that changes before the season starts.
The Bears are a hungry team with one of the most electric players on the field in Justin Fields. I truly feel his passing game will take a step forward, leading to more wins. Let’s also not forget Aaron Rodgers is no longer on the Packers. It seems you could always count on those games being losses for the Bears. That’s not the case anymore.
Finally, one of the reasons they make the top 10 NFL win total bets for 2023 is their schedule. They play teams that could struggle, like the Bucs, Commanders, Raiders, and Saints. They also close the season out with home games against the Cardinals and Falcons before going into Lambeau to play the Packers.
2. LA Rams Over 6.5 (-105)
It’s easy to remember the Rams’ five-win season last year. So easy that maybe you forget they won the Super Bowl the year before. Stafford should be back in full health, and they have one of the best receivers in the league in Cooper Kupp. They also still have a very talented coach in Sean McVay as well as a defense led by Aaron Donald.
They’ll play their division games close, and my prediction is they’ll win three to four of those. That means they only need four more wins. With games against teams like the Colts, Commanders, Steelers, Packers, Saints, and Browns, that seems doable to me. I don’t think they’re going to be the Super Bowl team from two years ago, but I think they’ll win seven games. The low win total from Vegas is why they land on my top 10 NFL win total bets for 2023.
1. New York Giants Over 7.5 (+100)
I know the Giants play in a tough division, but seven and a half wins seems low. Last year, the Giants won nine games, even with the offense suffering injury after injury. With the draft, they added defensive backfield help, line help, as well as some wide receiver and running back depth. In fact, their draft received one of the highest grades from Pro Football Focus and many other grading articles. So why does Vegas think they’ll finish two games worse?
I think the Giants are going to exceed expectations this year. They have games against the NFC West, which should offer some winnable games. They also play teams like the Saints, Patriots, and Jets. All teams, I feel, could have some rough spots. Dan Jones showed he could put this team on his back no matter who the receivers are, and I think he will do it again. This one is an easy choice for me on the top 10 NFL win total bets in 2023.
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Edge provides the perfect avenue to lay down future bets like this without tying up your bankroll today. So using Edge Boost, you can lay down multiple futures at zero interest. Here are my top NFL win total bets.
Chicago Bears Over 7.5 Wins (-130)
New York Giants Over 7.5 (+100)
LA Rams Over 6.5 (-105)
