Fantasy Football: Week Two Snap Share Report

Fantasy Football: Week 2 Snap Share Report — CHICAGO, IL – DECEMBER 16: A detail view of a Green Bay Packers equipment bag is seen full of footballs in action during an NFL game between the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears on December 16, 2018 at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. (Photo by Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire)

It was a crazy second weekend of NFL action and we are here to help you decipher the snap share, carry split, and target shares from some of the winners and losers in Week Two. This week we will begin to identify trends in snaps as well as recommendations on what this means you should do with your fantasy football teams. These recommendations are based on a combination of things that will be discussed for each player.

MORE SGPN FANTASY FOOTBALL CONTENT

Week 3 Waiver Wire Targets

Week 3 FAAB Cheat Sheet

Fantasy Football Rankings

Fantasy Football Trade Value Charts

Week 2 NFL Snap Counts

Significant Movers (>20% change in Snaps and 5% in Carry or Target Share)

Name	Team	Pos	Weekly Snap Change	Weekly Carry Change	Weekly Target Change	Week 1 Snap	Week 1 Target	Week 1 Carry	Week 2 Snap	Week 2 Target
Higgins	CIN	WR	63%		25%	26%	4%		89%	29%
Strachan	IND	WR	58%		6%	12%	4%		70%	10%
Stevenson	NEP	RB	37%	-7%	-1%	25%	7%	36%	62%	6%
Pierce	HOU	RB	33%	44%	0%	29%	3%	39%	62%	3%
Bourne	NEP	WR	31%		5%	4%	3%		35%	9%
Dulin	IND	WR	29%		12%	35%	12%		64%	24%
Carter	LAC	WR	28%		-5%	37%	12%		65%	7%
Akers	LAR	RB	25%	39%	9%	18%	0%	19%	43%	9%
Ertz	ARI	TE	24%		12%	60%	11%		84%	23%

Let’s discuss the New England Patriots because we are dealing with a lot of unknowns right now. Ty Montgomery landed on the IR and Devante Parker had an underwhelming performance in Week 1. As a result, we saw both Rhamondre Stevenson and Kendrick Bourne with significant changes in snap percentages. He looked like a solid runner carrying the ball 9 times for 47 yards at 5.22 yards per carry. However, we did see a pretty significant drop-off in rushing attempts and a drop in target share as well. Kendrick Bourne saw a large change in snaps too that almost directly corresponded to the drop in Devante Parker’s snaps. This also corresponded with an increase in target share and is definitely something to keep an eye on moving forward.

Dameon Pierce was a huge disappointment in Week One with an egregiously low snap share at 20%. He was up to a serviceable 62% this week and he will be the primary back in Houston for the remainder of the season. Rex Burkhead is not the answer and the Houston Texans realized that. Furthermore, Pierce averaged 4.5 yards per carry, and had he found the endzone, we would likely be talking about him more positively. Basically, you need to buy him before it’s too late.

Another interesting sequence of events is with the Indianapolis Colts. We all know that Michael Pittman Jr. was out this week and could potentially be out next week against the Chiefs. While Michael Strachan out-snapped Ashton Dulin, Dulin is capitalizing on the opportunities when on the field. As a result, he managed to double his target share and has seen at least 6 targets in both weeks of football. Despite my love for Parris Campbell, I think it is time to move on and Dulin may be the next in line.

Noticeable Movers (Between 10-20% increase in snaps)

Name	Team	Pos	Weekly Snap Change	Weekly Carry Change	Weekly Target Change	Week 1 Snap	Week 1 Target	Week 1 Carry	Week 2 Snap	Week 2 Target
Johnson	LV	WR	20%			5%	3%	#N/A	25%	#N/A
Gesicki	MIA	TE	20%		5%	42%	3%	#N/A	62%	8%
Samuel	WAS	WR	18%	-10%	-6%	71%	27%	14%	89%	20%
Conley	HOU	WR	18%			14%	6%	#N/A	32%	#N/A
Pringle	CHI	WR	17%			17%	12%	#N/A	34%	#N/A
Firkser	ATL	TE	17%			4%	6%	#N/A	21%	#N/A
Pettis	CHI	WR	16%			40%	6%	#N/A	56%	#N/A
Moore	HOU	WR	16%		2%	49%	9%	#N/A	65%	11%
Palmer	LAC	WR	16%		6%	75%	12%	3%	91%	17%
Shepard	NYG	WR	16%		12%	72%	19%	#N/A	88%	31%
Hill	BAL	RB	16%	5%		20%	7%	10%	36%	#N/A
Thomas	NOS	WR	15%		-3%	61%	25%	#N/A	76%	23%
Montgomery	CHI	RB	14%		-5%	66%	24%	46%	80%	18%
Robinson	JAX	RB	14%	1%	1%	49%	5%	61%	63%	7%
Ekeler	LAC	RB	14%	13%	10%	49%	12%	45%	63%	22%
Pickens	PIT	WR	14%		1%	71%	8%	#N/A	85%	9%
Beck	DEN	TE	14%			15%	7%	#N/A	29%	#N/A
Mostert	MIA	RB	13%	39%	3%	42%	3%	22%	55%	6%
Waddle	MIA	WR	13%		22%	67%	16%	4%	80%	38%
Jacobs	LV	RB	12%	14%	0%	60%	3%	77%	72%	3%
Wilson	NYJ	WR	12%		19%	49%	14%	#N/A	61%	33%
Harris	PIT	RB	12%	23%	13%	59%	5%	45%	71%	18%
Howard	HOU	TE	12%		-3%	17%	6%	#N/A	29%	3%
Green	ARI	WR	11%		4%	74%	11%	#N/A	85%	15%
Davis	NYJ	WR	11%		-6%	68%	16%	#N/A	79%	9%
Dotson	WAS	WR	11%		-1%	88%	12%	4%	99%	11%
Thomas	WAS	TE	11%		-3%	62%	15%	#N/A	73%	11%
London	ATL	WR	10%		26%	72%	22%	#N/A	82%	48%
McCaffrey	CAR	RB	10%	13%	3%	81%	16%	53%	91%	19%

Goodness, what’s with the Washington Commanders? Carson Wentz is slinging the rock and as a result has two Wide Receivers in the top 15 and neither is Terry McLaurin. You may be one week too late, but our man Dave (@dynastydorks) mentioned Jahan Dotson in his Week 1 Dork Report as an every-week starter. Not to mention our conversation on Curtis Samuel on last week’s podcast. All three of these Washington players are worth targeting in your league.

Curtis Samuel Week 2 Stat Line – 89% of Snaps, 20% Target Share, 7 Receptions, 78 Yards, and a touchdown
Jahan Dotson Week 2 Stat Line – 99% of snaps, 11% Target Share, 4 Receptions, 59 Yards, and a touchdown
Logan Thomas Week 2 Stat Line – 73% of snaps, 11% Target Share, 3 Receptions, 37 Yards, and a touchdown

The Wide Receiver room in New York is in a very odd right now place right now. Sterling Shepard seems to be the only player with consistent playing time. As a result, the Wide Receiver snap shares are being on the fritz in the first two weeks. I would pass until we see more clearly. After all, Brian Daboll did say every Wide Receiver will have to earn playing time.

Giants’ Brian Daboll on Kadarius Toney: Every WR will have to earn their role (msn.com)

It’s also good to see some of the other rookies in this grouping. With three in George Pickens, Garrett Wilson, and Jahan Dotson all seeing increases in snaps. Pickens is the only one not yet to put up the numbers to back it up. However, it’s likely difficult to obtain Dotson and Wilson after their Week 2 performances, but you could get Pickens on the cheap and he’s going to see an uptick in opportunity now that he is seeing significant snaps.

Marginal Movers (Between 5 and 10% increase in snaps)

Name	Team	Pos	Weekly Snap Change	Weekly Carry Change	Weekly Target Change	Week 1 Snap	Week 1 Target	Week 1 Carry	Week 2 Snap	Week 2 Target
London	ATL	WR	10%		26%	72%	22%	#N/A	82%	48%
McCaffrey	CAR	RB	10%	13%	3%	81%	16%	53%	91%	19%
Pitts	ATL	TE	9%		-10%	84%	22%	#N/A	93%	12%
Elliott	DAL	RB	9%	0%	2%	58%	5%	56%	67%	7%
Abdullah	LV	RB	9%		0%	12%	3%	#N/A	21%	3%
Myarick	NYG	TE	9%			23%	5%	#N/A	32%	#N/A
Benjamin	ARI	WR	9%	10%	-3%	34%	11%	18%	43%	9%
Saubert	DEN	TE	9%		5%	27%	2%	#N/A	36%	7%
Campbell	IND	WR	9%		-1%	77%	8%	#N/A	86%	7%
M.Jones	JAX	WR	9%		-7%	81%	24%	#N/A	90%	17%
Hill	MIA	WR	9%		-13%	67%	39%	4%	76%	26%
Dwelley	SF	TE	9%		-4%	28%	8%	#N/A	37%	4%
Thomas	CAR	TE	8%		-1%	66%	12%	#N/A	74%	11%
Smith-Schuster	KCC	WR	8%		-12%	66%	21%	#N/A	74%	9%
McKinnon	KCC	RB	8%	7%	-4%	39%	10%	15%	47%	6%
Conklin	NYJ	TE	8%		9%	92%	12%	#N/A	100%	21%
Williams	DEN	RB	7%	13%	-15%	58%	29%	35%	65%	14%
Hurst	CIN	TE	6%		5%	75%	15%	#N/A	81%	20%
Valdes-Scantling	KCC	WR	6%		10%	73%	10%	4%	79%	21%
Powell	LAR	WR	6%		0%	4%	2%	#N/A	10%	3%
Davis	GB	TE	6%		1%	25%	3%	#N/A	31%	4%
Rodgers	LAC	TE	6%			3%	3%	#N/A	9%	#N/A
McKissic	WAS	RB	6%	4%	9%	40%	7%	11%	46%	16%
Dillon	GB	RB	6%		-5%	51%	17%	56%	57%	12%

Rookie Drake London showed out this week with an increase in both snaps and targets. He also put up a solid stat line and you likely missed the buy window. Evidently, Atlanta wants him to be the guy over Pitts. It’s likely a week too late in dynasty, but in redraft, you could likely still get him at a slight discount.

Drake London Week 2 Stats – 82% of snaps, 48% of targets, 8 Receptions, 86 Yards, and one touchdown

Tyler Conklin is available in 8% of leagues. He has been on the field for over 90% of snaps and has produced for you. He is currently fourth in targets among Tight Ends behind Higbee, Andrews, and Freiermuth. I would expect this to continue for as long as Flacco is the QB. If he is available, he screams pick up and sell.

A lot has been asked about the Kansas City Wide Receiver situation. I believe based on snap shares that the person to own is Marquez Valdes-Scantling. MVS has had a solid snap share through two weeks never dropping below 73%. He is the guy with the most opportunity and should be targeted before his blowup game.

Significant Losers (>20% drop in Snaps and Corresponding Drops in ball share)

Name	Team	Pos	Weekly Snap Change	Weekly Carry Change	Weekly Target Change	Week 1 Snap	Week 1 Target	Week 1 Carry	Week 2 Snap	Week 2 Target
Doubs	GB	WR	-20%		-2%	57%	14%	6%	37%	12%
Dortch	ARI	WR	-20%		-16%	91%	25%	#N/A	71%	9%
Houston	DAL	WR	-23%		-9%	57%	12%	#N/A	34%	3%
Parker	NEP	WR	-24%		-1%	100%	7%	#N/A	76%	6%
Griffin	CHI	TE	-26%		-3%	53%	12%	#N/A	27%	9%
Henry	NEP	TE	-27%		-7%	77%	10%	#N/A	50%	3%
James	NYG	WR	-28%		-10%	70%	29%	3%	42%	19%
Crowder	BUF	WR	-31%		-8%	31%	13%	#N/A	0%	5%
Burkhead	HOU	RB	-34%		-15%	71%	23%	50%	37%	8%
Moss	BUF	RB	-37%	-26%	-17%	37%	19%	40%	0%	3%
McKenzie	BUF	WR	-44%		-2%	44%	10%	#N/A	0%	8%
Philips	TEN	WR	-25%		-24%	48%	29%	#N/A	23%	5%
Conner	ARI	RB	-51%	-20%	-8%	72%	17%	45%	21%	9%
Jeudy	DEN	WR	-75%		-6%	89%	17%	#N/A	14%	11%

Let’s talk Arizona Cardinals and Greg Dortch. At first, everyone was screaming to pick this guy up off waivers. Don’t fall for it! His snap share dropped 20% and he saw a similar drop from 25% to 9% from weeks one to two. As soon as Rondale Moore returns, he will see an even larger drop in usage.

I’ve heard a lot of people talking up Richie James and how you should spend your waiver priority or FAAB to obtain him. We talked about the usage fluctuations already. He’s dropped 30% in snaps and 10% in targets, I see more of this in the future. Additionally, with Wan’dale Robinson getting closer to his return, I expect James to find himself on the bench sooner rather than later.

NFL Week 2 Fantasy Football Takeaways

At this point I’d like to end the article with what I think you should be doing with the personnel I spoke about above. This is obviously not an all-inclusive list but it is a list of those that are either the most significant or getting the most discussion.