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NFL Power Rankings ATS For Week Ten: The Green Report

nfl week ten power rankings ats

A quarter of the NFL season has passed since my last NFL Power Rankings ATS so it felt like a perfect time to revisit the list. The Miami Dolphins really responded by being placed in time out with an impressive 4 ATS wins in a row! Can we expect a similar response from the Browns or Jets? Highly unlikely, should out to one of my ‘Green Light’ teams New Orleans going 3-0 ATS since my last column.

The team’s ATS record is next to their name, the number after that is their average margin ATS

Green Lights

1. Arizona 6-3-0 (-0.6) – 3-1 ATS since the last ‘Green Report’, this team is bad enough to get a lot of points, but also good enough to slide in that back door late.
2. Carolina 5-3-0 (+0.5) – With Cam Newton out of the picture this team can continue to dominate ATS. Game Blouses!
3. San Francisco 5-3-0 (+12.8) – Like the band on the Titanic I’m still hanging on to my Jimmy G sucks take, but this defense makes them an ATS beast.
4. Buffalo 5-3-0 (+0.6) – The Bills are 6-2 SU and still underdogs against the Browns? No respect = tons of value.
5. Denver 5-4-0 (-0.1) – Defense coming around and Joe Flacco gone? Could be the second half dark horse ATS team.
6. New England 6-3-0 (+7.4) – The Baby Whales got harpooned which should lead to some more manageable spreads.

I See You

7. LA Chargers 3-4-2 (-1.1) – They got their LT back and they’re hitting FGs? Put the league on notice! Just in time for a near playoff run that ends in heartbreak.
8. Jacksonville 5-4-0 (-1.1) – Nick Foles is coming back after their bye week and this competitive Jags team will be undervalued.
9. Tampa Bay 2-6-0 (-0.2) – They only have 2 ATS wins, but the Bucs passing game is built for busting down the back door.
10. Oakland 5-3-0 (+0.6) – Their defense is still pretty rough, but at home as a small favorite and as a big dog are good spots to bet on.
11. Houston 5-4-0 (+4.5) – Still struggle with legit pass rushes but do you really want to bet against Deshaun Watson?
12. Pittsburgh 5-3-0 (+0.7) – Backing Mason Rudolph is still pretty scary, but this team is definitely playing for Tomlin.
13. Miami 4-4-0 (-6.3) – The Gatorade dump was legit laugh out loud, but nobody believes in this team’s ability to cover.
14. Tennessee 3-5-1 (+0.4) – Now that Ryan Tannehill isn’t playing for that smelling salt junkie Adam Gase he looks like a legit option at QB.

Have To Bet On Something

15. Philadelphia 4-5-0 (-1.4) – Lack of production at WRs is keeping them in the middle ground as an ATS team.
16. Indianapolis 4-3-1 (+1.4) – I’m not betting on this team until Adam Vinatieri retires. That’s what I keep trying to tell myself.
17. Detroit 4-4-0 (-0.1) – The Lions are the most meh team this season. Back at home fade on the road, don’t think too much about them.
18. Minnesota 5-4-0 (+3.6) – A few big wins had the Vikings starting to get outpriced of the market.
19. Seattle 4-5-0 (-1.4) – Danger Russ is balling out but that defense is suspect and their home field advantage isn’t what it was.
20. New Orleans 6-2-0 (+4.1) – Great team, but with Brees back the price will be too high.
21. LA Rams 6-2-0 (+0.9) – The Ramsey hype has got this team over-priced for now.
22. Cincinnati 3-5-0 (-5.6) – The spread is alive and well and the winless Bengals expect to see some HUUUUGE numbers.
23. Baltimore 3-5-0 (+5.5) – All aboard the Lamar Jackson MVP bandwagon means the value on the Ravens is probably gone.

Beer Goggles

24. Green Bay 6-3-0 (+1.4) – Their defense has been exposed and storm clouds are brewing in the Lafleur & Rodgers partnership.
25. Dallas 5-3-0 (+3.4) – Two bold predictions for the second half of the season, Garrett figures out how to derail this season and Epstein didn’t kill himself.
26. Kansas City 5-4-0 (+2.1) – Mahomes return will over inflate the price for this team, especially considering how bad their defense has been.
27. NY Giants 3-6-0 (-4.2) – Danny Dimes is leading the league with 16 turnovers this season. Awesome!
28. Washington 3-6-0 (-4.4) – Haskins looks completely lost out there and the defense is now below mediocre.
29. Chicago 2-6-0 (-2.7) – A sportsbook is refunding MVP bets on Mitch Trubisky. Imagine things being so bad a sportsbook takes pity on you.
30. Atlanta 2-6-0 (-8.9) – The secret is out on how bad this ATL team is so they could be catching some big numbers.

Time Out

31. NY Jets 2-6-0 (-7.1) – Holy shit they lost to the Dolphins. I mean like holy shit.
32. Cleveland 2-6-0 (-5.5) – Somehow this team is favored again this week even with Sad Baker at the helm.

The cover percentage and ATS record come from TeamRankings.com.

Sean Green is co-host of The Sports Gambling Podcast. When he isn't giving out his free NFL picks, he works as a stand up comedian, writer and producer. He's currently the head writer and supervising producer on "Ridiculousness" but has also written for Crashletes (Nickelodeon), SFTHF (Full Screen) and Guy Code (MTV Digital). Sean also hosts his own late night sports talk show "Sean's Sports Show".

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