Happy Thursday Night Football friends and fellow degenerates. This week we have a throwback classic as this used to be one of the greatest rivalries in all of Football. Now its just a shitty Thursday Night game. Can Jason Garrett fix his teams problems or will he be headed for another SHINEBOX moment? Can Cousins get enough help to pull off another road win? Regardless of your take on the game I believe this matchup is ripe with angles to attack for whats been a very lucrative prop market for me and my “clients”.
Lets dive into the matchup and identify those inefficiencies in the prop market to get you paid on Thursday Night Football. For more in depth NFL analysis check out(or listen below) the Week Thirteen NFL Picks Podcast where we breakdown and pick all 14 games on the slate and I even give a heartfelt Eulogy for the great Eli Manning.
Season: 51-34-1 (+15.25u)
MNF:34-17 (+18.05u)
TNF:17-17-1 (-2.8u)
Thursday Night Football Game Info
Time: Thursday November 30th @ 5:25 PM Pacific
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Weather: 60f & clear
TV: NFL Network, NBC, Amazon Prime
Spread: Cowboys +2
MoneyLine: -130/+110
Total: 46.5
Odds courtesy of BetOnline.ag
Thursday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. Kirk Cousins Over 282.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Phillip Rivers just had his best game against this struggling defense putting up 434 yards. Yes, I am aware Cousins went for 263 in the first matchup but I would argue that this matchup is too juicy to pass up. With out Zeke on the field Dallas has held the ball for considerable less time(~6min per game). Combine that with the fact that Dallas has the 26th rank pass defense and you have a formula for a shredding. Take the over and don’t look back.
2. Vernon Davis Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Were a bit correlated here with the Cousins over. Vernon Davis has only gone under this total 3 times this year, twice Reed was playing and the other game was last week in a strange down week against the lowly Giants. Reed will be out again and the Cowboys are 27th against the TE and I expect Davis to bounce back in a big way. This has the makings of a 3rd quarter winner.
3. Dez Bryant Under 65.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Josh Norman vs Dez Bryant round one saw Bryant go 4 for 39 and I don’t expect this round to go any differently.Why would it Dakota has been exposed with out the help of a beast O-line and Zeke in the backfield. The Skins and Josh Norman are #5 in the league at shutting down the opposing teams #1 WR. Oh and Dez just fucking sucks now, he is no longer able to get separation. lock this up before it submarines below 60.
4. Jason Witten Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
For as bad as the Cowboys are at stopping the TE the Skins are just as futile ranking 24th in the league. Sprinkle in the recent struggles and I expect the Cowboys to script alot of easy passes low risk passes. In steps the old man Jason Witten and his reliable play. Dakota looks for Witten early and often as this prop much like Davis’ could be settled in the 3rd quarter.
5. Cowboys Team Total Under 21.5 (-110)
In the 3 games that Zeke has been suspended the cowboys have COMBINED for 22 points. COME ON MAN!!!! Dont over think it, take the under!
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!
