Atlanta’s pass rush and a Baltimore offense that may have to go without Lamar Jackson drove the conversation, and that’s where the guys ended up on Ravens vs Falcons, which kicks off Sunday, October 11 at 8:20 PM ET in Atlanta, GA. The Falcons were 3.5-point favorites with a total of 44.5 when the guys taped on October 7, and both hosts took Atlanta on the NFL Picks Week 5 episode.
Ravens vs Falcons Odds
The Falcons were 3.5-point favorites over the Ravens with a total of 44.5 when the guys taped on October 7.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Falcons -3.5
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Falcons -3.5
Ryan started with the number. Atlanta is on short rest after a Monday night game and Lamar is dealing with an ankle sprain, so a Falcons team laying 3.5 told him the market expects Huntley to start. His view was that losing Lamar is worth a big move, and he wondered how the Ravens’ offense handles a backup against a defense that loves to pressure you. Keeping the defensive coordinator has paid off for Stefanski, in his telling, and that unit is getting after quarterbacks.
Sean backed it up with the show’s numbers. He had the Falcons at 114 pressures through four games and first in the NFL in rush defense EPA per play, which makes Baltimore’s run-it-down-your-throat plan a tough sell behind an offensive line he said still has issues. Then he got to Bijan Robinson in prime time: 5.8 yards per carry and on pace for 2,100 rushing yards, by Sean’s count. He expects another monster game.
Ryan added that Baltimore is still down several offensive linemen and that the injury report has the feel of a scheduled loss for the Ravens. He also credited Stefanski having Bill Callahan back coaching his line, and called Atlanta being good on both sides of the trenches one of the bigger surprises of the season. If you play them you have to stop Bijan, and he doesn’t think Baltimore can. Both of them laid the 3.5.
Hear the full breakdown on the NFL Picks Week 5 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our NFL Picks.
