Both guys took the Steelers +3.5 for Steelers vs Bengals, kicking off Sunday, November 15 at 8:20 PM ET in Cincinnati, OH. Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) and Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) played Pittsburgh getting 3.5 points when the guys taped on November 11, and they made the case on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode.
Steelers vs Bengals Odds
The Bengals were 3.5-point favorites over the Steelers with a total of 50 when the guys taped on November 11.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Steelers +3.5
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Steelers +3.5
Sean’s starting point was the division. An AFC North team getting three and a half is where he always looks, and he cited the Steelers at 21 and 7 ATS as a division dog since 2016. He added that the Steelers head coach is quietly strong off a bye, 13 and 3 ATS by his count. The schedule helps too. Pittsburgh is coming off a bye with two weeks to prepare, and Sean expects an older team that struggled on the road to look a lot sharper with the rest.
Ryan called fading the Bengals the obvious play. He thinks the Steelers are playing better than people want to admit, and he described the Bengals defense as below average pretty much across the board. He also noted the last time the Bengals covered this number at home against Pittsburgh was Week 12 of 2021. The Titans’ last trip to Cincinnati came up as well: the guys noted Tony Pollard ran all over the Bengals and Cam Ward had his best game of the season there.
The matchup talk stayed in the trenches. Ryan pointed out that the Steelers rank first in DVOA against the run, and he thinks Pittsburgh can run on this defense. Sean said the Bengals are bad against tight ends, and he liked the Steelers being second in havoc rate as a way to get to Joe Burrow. Neither of them ruled out a Bengals win. Ryan’s version: maybe Cincinnati wins by a field goal, and that still doesn’t cover three and a half.
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