Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) said the Jaguars cover unless they lose the turnover battle by about three. Lose one, maybe even two, and he still sees a double-digit win. That was enough for him and Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric), who both lay Jaguars -10.5, the number when the guys taped on November 11. The Jaguars visit the Titans in Nashville, TN on Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET, and the full breakdown is on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode.
Jaguars vs Titans Odds
The Jaguars were 10.5-point favorites over the Titans with a total of 46.5 when the guys taped on November 11.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Jaguars -10.5
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Jaguars -10.5
Ryan’s read starts with the spot. The Jaguars are on another back-to-back road trip and the Titans come off a bye. He admits the trends on divisional home dogs and rest lean the other way, and he is driving past them anyway. He ranks the Jags first in the league at curb-stomping the teams they should. He also figures a defense that just added serious beef will want to eat in game one.
On the other side, Ryan was surprised by how little the Titans offense has done. He called it more of an indictment of Cam Ward, though he wondered whether Brian Daboll shares the blame after building simple offenses for his quarterbacks in the past. For now the Titans sit in his do-not-bet pile.
Sean was all over the Titans against the Bengals, and he still isn’t reading much into that win. In his view the Bengals were flat, and even then the Titans let Joe Burrow throw for big yards and five touchdowns. He doesn’t see Tony Pollard getting going against a Jags rush defense that was very good before the guys they just traded for arrived. He also noted Robert Saleh is 0 and 3 ATS off a bye.
The guys noted the Jags have won seven of the last eight, in what they called a flowchart division. Ryan summed it up in one line: this is two seasons now of the Jags taking care of the trash.
Hear the full breakdown on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our NFL Picks.
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