Ryan Kramer called this one a close your eyes special, and that settled it for him. The Patriots and Lions kick off Sunday, November 15 at 9:30 AM ET in Munich, Germany, a neutral site. Both hosts took the Patriots +3, the number when the guys taped on November 11. Their full case is on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode.
Patriots vs Lions Odds
The Lions were 3-point favorites over the Patriots with a total of 51 when the guys taped on November 11.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Patriots +3
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Patriots +3
Ryan’s argument starts with the deep ball. He had warned the week before that a good defense would take it away from the Patriots quarterback, and he said it played out exactly that way. He doesn’t see the Lions doing the same. His picture of this game is the quarterback getting a little time in the pocket and a receiver running free across the middle 40 yards downfield, a couple of times. He also noted that the Patriots are banged up but the Lions defense is banged up again too.
Sean came at it through the matchups. His question was simple enough: what are the Lions bad at? Guarding tight ends. He said Hunter Henry played and was effective last week, and he expects the Patriots’ 12 personnel to work. He also likes the Patriots quarterback against bad defenses and fades him against good ones, and he counted the Lions in the first group.
The spot helped too. Sean said Mike Vrabel is 29-19 ATS off a loss. He called the Lions a dome team playing outdoors in Germany and pointed out they put up only 19 points against the Dolphins outdoors. He admitted field conditions are a crapshoot in these international games. He still said he would much rather take New England with the three points.
Hear the full breakdown on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our NFL Picks.
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Dolphins vs Colts
Chiefs vs Falcons
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Rams vs Cardinals
