The guys asked one hard question about Kansas City before backing them: if this turns into a close field goal game, can you trust Harrison Butker? They took the Chiefs anyway. The Chiefs visit the Falcons on Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET in Atlanta, GA, and both hosts played Chiefs -3. The Chiefs were 3-point favorites with a total of 46 when the guys taped on November 11. The full segment is on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode.
Chiefs vs Falcons Odds
The Chiefs were 3-point favorites over the Falcons, with a total of 46, when the guys taped on November 11.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Chiefs -3
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Chiefs -3
The kicker worry is real. The guys said Butker has been missing a lot of kicks, that his misses were a big part of why the Jets stayed in the game against Kansas City, and that the Chiefs are sticking with him. They also brought up the Mahomes elbow injury, which they said they had not talked about much on the show. He looked fine to them.
Sean admitted he could make a solid case for both sides. The Falcons case runs through Bijan Robinson. The guys noted Kansas City has allowed 42.5 receiving yards a game to running backs and has been soft against tight ends, and they said Atlanta tends to play its best when Bijan gets going as a receiver. They also debated Penix. One view was that he is easy to beat once he has to move past his first read. The other was that the Chiefs haven’t had much of a pass rush, so he could get time to work. Both landed on the same point: the Chiefs defensive coordinator should have a plan for him.
The case for Kansas City is about the line of scrimmage. The guys rated the Chiefs strong in adjusted line yards and called Atlanta a bottom eight team in that stat. They expect Kenneth Walker and a physical Chiefs run game to get push and play downhill, even if Mahomes is not 100 percent. They also said Atlanta has two or three defensive backs near the top of the league in getting beat in coverage, and that the Jessie Bates trade takes a veteran leader out of that secondary. Ryan said he doesn’t love laying points on the road, but he laid them here.
Hear the full breakdown on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our NFL Picks.
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