NASCAR and its teams head out to the Las Vegas of the east and home of country music, Nashville, Tennessee this week. Lebanon, Tennessee, to be more exact, just about 25 miles east of Nashville, is the home of Nashville Superspeedway. Let’s dive in and take a look at our favorite NASCAR Underdog Fantasy Pick’em for Nashville Superspeedway.
Nashville is a 1.33-mile concrete track that doesn’t really compare to any others on the circuit. When looking at Underdog Fantasy projections here, the closest comparison tracks are the three previous races that took place here: Dover and the high-speed intermediate tracks like Kansas, Vegas, and Charlotte that we’ve already seen this season.
NASCAR Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway
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Chase Elliott Better Than 6.5
Elliott is considered by some to be the “King of the Concrete.” Our friends over at Ifantasyracing.com have some stats to back that up. In the NextGen era, Elliott is the only driver with two wins (Nashville and Dover), and his 4.4 average finish ranks best in NASCAR and is also better than 6.5.
Elliott finished fourth in last year’s Ally 400 at Nashville, and in 2022, he won the race here. Consistency isn’t something you’ve had to worry about with Elliott, either.
He’s the only driver to finish in the top 20 in every race this season. At intermediate 1.5-mile tracks, Elliott has had great runs. He won Texas, finished third at Kansas, and seventh at Charlotte. At Dover, the high-speed concrete track, Elliott scored a fifth-place finish.
William Byron Worse Than 8.5
Admittedly, this one is a tough one to place. When you think Byron, you think consistency and a driver who reached the elite level with three wins this season.
While all those things are true, it’s been a rough go for the 24 camp as of late. In the last eight races this season, Byron only has three finishes better than 8.5, and if you add the All-Star race in there, he finished 19th.
He showed speed earlier this season on 1.5-mile tracks, finishing third at Texas and Charlotte. However, he failed to finish better than 8.5 at Las Vegas, Bristol, Kansas, and Dover. Don’t get me wrong; Byron is still a great driver in a great car, but until we see something different, it’s time to fade him.
Alex Bowman Better Than 14.5
It wasn’t the intention to make this a Hendrick drivers article, but you have to go where the fantasy projections lead you, and here we are. Bowman has been a top-10 machine this year, and that should continue this week. In 18 Cup Series races this season, Bowman has finished Better Than 10 times.
At intermediate tracks, he finished ninth at Charlotte, eighth at Darlington, seventh at Kansas, and eighth at Dover. Las Vegas and Texas, where he was out of the race early, were the only two where he missed the mark on comparison tracks.
Ryan Blaney Better Than 8.5
Out of the Hendrick camp and over to defending champion Ryan Blaney. Things haven’t gone smoothly for Blaney at Nashville. In two of his three starts, Blaney has wrecked out, resulting in 36th & 37th place finishes. However, the one race he didn’t wreck, Blaney finished in third place.
Ford and Blaney have recently found some speed in the intermediate package. At Dover, he finished seventh, and earlier this season, he finished third in Las Vegas. If he can just avoid the chaos and not run out of fuel, Blaney should finish in the top eight.
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