The 2024 NFL season is just around the corner! Every team has Super Bowl aspirations, and that road starts in your division. Every team plays six divisional games, and that’s an important road to the postseason. The easiest way to the postseason is to win your division. So, let’s take a look at every division in the NFL and which teams are the 2024-2025 NFL Division winner’s best bets.
2025 Super Bowl LIX Odds and Best Bets – A Look at Every Team
2024-2025 NFL Division Winner Best Bets: Picking Each Division Winner
Some divisions have pretty clear-cut favorites going into the year. So, in this article, we’ll take a look at each team’s odds and then select the winner to bet on based on their value in the betting market and what makes them a “best bet.”
AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs -230
Los Angeles Chargers +320
Las Vegas Raiders +900
Denver Broncos +1800
The Kansas City Chiefs are the obvious favorites here. They’ve dominated the NFL the last few seasons and will attempt to be the first team to win three Super Bowls in a row this season. The Chiefs have won every AFC West title since the 2016-2017 season.
The Chargers have had a massive turnover, including the head coach. Jim Harbaugh has done a great job turning teams around quickly wherever he’s been. The Chargers went just 5-12 in 2023.
The Raiders retained interim head coach Antonio Pierce and signed Gardner Minshew to run their offense. Last year, the Raiders finished second to the Chiefs in the division with a record of 8-9.
The Denver Broncos also finished 8-9 in 2023, but they tore the team down this off-season. Russell Wilson is out, and Bo Nix is in to replace him. Jerry Juedy and other veterans were either released or traded.
Ultimately, this is the Chiefs division to lose. -230 is just way too juiced of a number that makes it impossible to tie up for the entire season. The Raiders and Broncos have a long way to go, and even though the Chargers were worst in the division in 2023, with their quarterback and coach combo alone, if the Chiefs struggle or slip up, the Chargers could be the team to pounce and win this division.
Best Bet: Chargers +320
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens +130
Cincinnati Bengals +145
Cleveland Browns +600
Pittsburgh Steelers +850
This division has the closest odds from top to bottom and is one of the toughest divisions to win each season. Three of the teams have won this title over the last four seasons, with the Ravens taking it last year and the Bengals in both 2022 and 2021.
The Ravens haven’t lost a step with two-time defending MVP Lamar Jackson and adding Derrick Henry to his backfield. The Bengals get Joe Burrow back and change their offensive coordinator, along with Joe Mixon departing. In Burrow’s last two healthy seasons, the Bengals won the division both times.
Deshaun Watson is back for the Browns, who still managed to make the playoffs last year with Joe Flacco leading the team after Watson went down. The Browns, however, haven’t won a division title since 1989.
The Steelers have undergone some big changes, and there are question marks at quarterback. Mike Tomlin is still the head man in Pittsburgh, and that’s enough of a reason to bet the Steelers. They find a way to win games every year, and if one of these quarterbacks hits. Watch out.
This one is a toss-up as far as the favorites go, but Joe Burrow and company have proven to be a very tough team, and their odds are a little longer. You also have to toss a small bet on the Steelers. At this number, Mike Tomlin alone is worth it.
Best Bets: Bengals +145 & Steelers +850
AFC East
Buffalo Bills +170
New York Jets +190
Miami Dolphins +200
New England Patriots +2500
After years of New England dominance, it’s been the Buffalo Bills’ division for the last four seasons. Last year, the Dolphins tied the Bills record with both going 11-6, while the Jets managed a 7-10 record even without Aaron Rodgers.
The Bills have had a lot of turnover, leaving many question marks surrounding the team in 2024. Most importantly, Josh Allen is still the man behind center.
The Dolphins return their high-powered offense and another year of Tua, who stayed healthy last season. They won as many games as the Bills but lost both games head-to-head against Buffalo.
The Jets season changed drastically when Aaron Rodgers was hurt on the first drive of that game last year. The team still fought through and beat the Bills that night and won a respectable seven games.
Rodgers returns with all the expectations to win on his shoulders. The Patriots had the No. 3 overall pick in the NFL Draft. They got their quarterback of the future and a new coach in Jerod Mayo. As a Patriots fan, I’m excited for the future, but it would take quite a miracle for the Pats to win this division.
The Dolphins at 2/1 odds after tying the Bills in wins last season seems like a good deal to me. The Bills tend to choke things away, and they’ve got a lot of big holes to fill in 2024.
Can Rodgers stay healthy? Should he run for office or keep following in Favre’s shoes by sending pictures next? Who knows? Give me the Phins to get it done.
Best Bet: Dolphins +200
AFC South
Houston Texans +105
Jacksonville Jaguars +275
Indianapolis Colts +310
Tennessee Titans +1000
This is a division that has seen three different winners over the last three seasons. They all finished within four games of each other last year. All four teams have what they hope are their quarterbacks of the future.
Houston went from worst to first last year after overhauling the team in record time. They added Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon to their offense. Jacksonville is back after finishing one game behind Houston last year, and Trevor Lawrence just got paid the bag.
Indianapolis had big flashes from their rookie quarterback before injury took him down. They still managed to win nine games. The Tennessee Titans have turned the reigns over to Will Levis and hired Brian Callahan as their head coach.
cannot wait to see more of the QB run game that Shane Steichen comes up with for Anthony Richardson.
these are back-to-back plays for touchdowns. pic.twitter.com/P4EM5EP3C8
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) June 19, 2024
This is another take-two-shots division. The Colts were only one game behind Houston last year without their quarterback most of the season. Toss a healthy Richardson into the mix with a strong team, and Houston could take a step back or, more likely, just not take another step forward.
Tennessee has many questions but also a lot of potential. Will Levis could be the answer, and while they have a rookie head coach, his father, Bill, was a good head coach who was there to help guide him. Don’t be shocked if the Titans are alive late in the season. That 10/1 ticket will feel good.
Best Bets: Colts +310 & Titans +1000
NFC West
San Francisco 49ers -190
Los Angeles Rams +330
Seattle Seahawks +700
Arizona Cardinals +1300
It’s perhaps a little surprising that this division has had three different winners over the last four years, with the 49ers taking hold the last two years in a row.
Much like the Chiefs, the 49ers are strong favorites for good reason, but that makes them hard to bet on at a number like -190. The Rams were reeling a little after selling out to win it all, but they still managed 10 wins last year. Aaron Donald hung it up, but most of this team’s nucleus returns.
Seattle has moved on from Pete Carroll, and for now, Geno Smith remains the quarterback, although Sam Howell could compete for that job. This team seems like it might be the farthest off from the title, despite what the odds say.
Arizona is an interesting case. Their odds are long, and their defense is very questionable. However, their offense could really carry things this season. They are only two seasons removed from 11 wins and seem to have a strong base in place.
This is a tough division to bet on. The 9ers should run away with it, but it’s not realistic to bet on them. If Purdy, McCaffery, or Debo go down, this team could struggle.
Give me the small sprinkle on a long shot that maybe strikes gold with a good quarterback and strong young weapons. This is more of a hope and prayer because nothing else is a great bet to take.
Best Bet: Cardinals +1300
NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles +105
Dallas Cowboys +145
Washington Commanders +800
New York Giants +1200
The last time there was a back-to-back winner in the NFC East was 2004. That’s not great news for the Cowboys, who won the division last season. The Eagles enter as this year’s favorites, having won the East in 2022.
After starting the season, 10-1 fizzled out down the stretch. The Cowboy’s high-flying offense impressed last season as they closed out strong and took the division from the Eagles.
Washington has selected their new franchise quarterback in LSU’s Jayden Daniels, but how quickly can he turn things around in the capital city? The Giants could be a bit of a sleeping well giant. Ok, maybe not, but if Daniel Jones stays healthy and plays to the level he’s capable of, maybe the Giants are due for another magical run.
Philadelphia Eagles Draft Recap | Diehard Eagles (Ep. 129) w/ @seantgreen #FlyEaglesFly
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🗣️Coordinators Press Conferences @diehardeagles52Spotify – https://t.co/qYpMRFJQmR pic.twitter.com/3y3Drb4cBc
— SGPN (Sports Gambling Podcast Network) (@TheSGPNetwork) May 10, 2024
You simply can’t bet short odds on a team to go back-to-back and play against the football gods here. Philadelphia is great value to win the Super Bowl at 17/1, and that all starts with taking down the division.
Best Bet: Philadelphia Eagles +105
NFC North
Detroit Lions +150
Green Bay Packers +210
Chicago Bears +265
Minnesota Vikings +1000
The NFC North is on a streak of three straight seasons of different winners currently. There’s been a lot of power shifts in the division lately. The Lions enter as the favorites, having won the division last season. This division has seen a massive shift lately from veteran quarterbacks to young studs with something to prove.
The Lions are coming off their first 12-win season since 1991. They’ve steadily improved under Dan Campbell, and Jared Goff just got paid. The Packers seem to have found the next man up in Jordan Love, and one of the youngest teams in the league last year looks to improve on its playoff run.
The Bears drafted Caleb Williams, tabbed to be the next superstar quarterback. They didn’t mess around giving him weapons that make him probably the most loaded team for a #1 overall quarterback draft pick in recent memory.
The Vikings have been a threat every year for the division, but Kirk Cousins moved on. Rookie national champion JJ McCarthy steps in with big shoes to fill.
This one comes down to Detroit and Green Bay. Maybe one of the rookies figured it out, but these teams are in win-now mode. The nod is going to the veteran Jared Goff because these Lions just seem to be a little bit of a special team.
Best Bet: Lions +150
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons -115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +300
New Orleans Saints +340
Carolina Panthers +1100
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won the NFC South three seasons in a row. That number may be a little skewed due to Tom Brady being in town, but they did it last year with Baker Mayfield at the helm. This season, the Falcons are at the top of the odds list after Raheem Morris was brought in as the new head coach and Kirk Cousins as the quarterback—well, for now, maybe.
The Buccaneers re-signed Baker Mayfield and brought back a lot of the pieces from last year’s 9-8 division winner team. The Saints also went 9-8 last season, finishing second to the Buccaneers—their core returns with another season under Dennis Allen and Derek Carr.
The Carolina Panthers were the worst team in the league last season and are one of the favorites to repeat that in 2024.
The Falcons should be the favorites, but not by this much. They’ve finished 7-10 for three seasons straight and have seven wins in five of the last six seasons, which doesn’t give you a ton of confidence at -115.
Pick your poison between the Buccaneers and the Saints. Either team is good enough to win this division, and it feels like the Saints year to get it done.
Best Bet: Saints +340