Soccer returns this weekend in England with a full slate of matches for Premier League Matchday 24. The action begins with a loaded Saturday card of seven fixtures, which kicks off with Manchester City hosting Everton. Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur are both at home, while Newcastle hits the road.
On Sunday, the weekend headliner is Aston Villa and Manchester United at Villa Park. Arsenal plays at West Ham on the same day before Chelsea and Crystal Palace close out the games on Monday.
The goals were flowing all across the EPL last week. We’ll dive into the betting card with our preview and best bets for Premier League Matchday 24.
Premier League Matchday 24 Best Bets
Manchester City vs. Everton – I tried to bet against City last week, and it wasn’t a good idea. I’m not going to do it here either, with Everton still not at full strength.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford – Over 2.5 Goals (-130) Caesars
You don’t have to go back far to see how these two teams match up against each other. This will be the fourth game between the sides since the end of December.
In the previous three fixtures, this same play would have cashed in two, with the other impacted by an early red card. Both teams still scored in that match.
Meanwhile, six of the last seven Wolves’ league matches finished with at least three goals. The trend is even stronger for Brentford, with the over 2.5 goals cashing in 12 of the previous 15 EPL games.
As Baz likes to say on the SGPN Premier League show, this is an overs league now, and I’m jumping on board with this play here.
Fulham vs. Bournemouth – Fulham was very close to making the card here. I’m waiting to see if a better price on Draw no Bet becomes available. This could be added closer to kick if we get odds around -120 or better.
Liverpool vs. Burnley – Liverpool can name the score here. I just don’t see any betting value in this game.
Spurs vs. Brighton – My rule of not betting on Spurs’ matches was almost lifted, as I do see value in the home side. However, I’m ultimately staying away. There should be goals here, though.
Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle – It is nearly impossible to predict what either of these sides will do at the moment. Neither seem to want or know how to defend at the moment, which could lead to goals. This was an easy pass for me.
Parlay: Luton Town ML & Chelsea +0.5 (+114) BetRivers
I’ll start first with Luton’s match on Saturday before I write about the Chelsea match at the end. We’re going right back to the Hatters at home here.
This is also a big fade of Sheffield United on the road. The Blades only have two draws and no wins in 10 away matches in the EPL.
Even after bringing back Chris Wilder as manager, Sheffield has posted a -5.2 xGDiff and allowed 1.825 expected goals per match away from home, according to fbref.com.
I like Luton as a solid parlay piece at Kenilworth Road.
West Ham vs. Arsenal – How does Arsenal respond after the big win? I could only bet the Hammers at these prices, but I’ll hold out for a better number.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United – It is clear that there has been a drop in performance from Villa. With United getting more minutes with regular starters, I just don’t have a good sense of how this one plays out.
Parlay: Luton Town ML & Chelsea +0.5 (+114) BetRivers
The reason I like Chelsea as the second piece of this parlay is the fact that Crystal Palace will be without the duo of Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise.
In the eight games in all competitions this season where both didn’t start, the Eagles have only won twice, with one of those coming in the EFL Cup against Plymouth Argyle. The other was a victory over Burnley.
On top of that, the two have combined for 11 goals and four assists. This means they have played a direct role in 15 of Palace’s 26 (58%) league goals.
I still don’t trust Chelsea to win outright on the road. However, I still think the Blues can avoid defeat to cash this parlay.
