Following a great week with our best bets, the Sports Gambling Podcast Network is back to preview Premier League Matchday 10 with our favorite plays on the betting board.
Crystal Palace and Tottenham Hotspur kick off the weekend on Friday before Saturday’s slate of four matches. Chelsea, Arsenal, and Newcastle are all in action on Saturday, while the best game of the weekend is on Sunday.
The main headliner is the Manchester Derby at Old Trafford to close out the weekend. Aston Villa, Brighton, and Liverpool are all at home on the same day.
After a week where we almost swept the board, it was much tougher picking our favorite plays here in Premier League Matchday 10, but we will still break down every match and give our two best bets.
Premier League Matchday 10 Best Bets
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham – If Palace is without Michael Olise and Eberechi Eze again, this could be a great price on a surging Spurs team. I’m going to wait on that injury news before playing anything.
Chelsea vs. Brentford – Brentford +1 (-133) Bet365
Yes, we did bet on Chelsea last week, and the Blues were impressive before crumbling late against Arsenal. However, this is a pretty big shift in the odds against a Bees’ squad that doesn’t get beaten badly too often.
This was a Brentford team that was only beaten by multiple goals in just three of 19 road games a season ago, which included wins at Manchester City, Spurs, and Stamford Bridge.
Meanwhile, Chelsea’s best results have primarily come on the road recently, and I still don’t trust them to cover this sort of margin against a solid side like Brentford.
Arsenal vs. Sheffield United – There is no way I can bet Sheffield, and I wouldn’t be looking to back Arsenal after the tough road trip midweek in the Champions League.
Bournemouth vs. Burnley – This is a pair of two terrible defenses. Unfortunately, the offenses aren’t much better. This is an easy pass.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Newcastle – The Magpies’ numbers have been very impressive, but those are mainly at home. There are too many potential outcomes in this match for me to bet it.
West Ham vs. Everton – Over 2.5 Goals (-130) Caesars
Whenever you used to see David Moyes against Sean Dyche, you would have immediately thought about betting the under. However, the managers have changed their styles recently.
Starting first with Everton, this has cashed in three of four away games for the Toffees, averaging 3.1 expected goals per 90 minutes, according to fbref.com. Since Dyche became manager last season, Everton has allowed 2.108 xG per match on the road.
Meanwhile, this is a Hammers defense that is in the bottom 5 in the Premier League in both expected goals and big chances given up. This is the main reason why this same bet has cashed in seven of nine EPL fixtures.
I also don’t hate a look at Everton on the handicap, but I like the angle for goals much stronger.
Brighton vs. Fulham – It is hard to really know what to expect from Fulham. You would think there should be goals in this match, but the total is too high to bet.
Aston Villa vs. Luton Town – We officially cashed a bet on Luton Town last week. It doesn’t mean I’m rushing to bet their game again.
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest – You likely will see a lot of Brighton, Villa, and Liverpool parlays on Sunday. Which team blows that up?
Manchester United vs. Manchester City – I didn’t really expect to be thinking about betting United here, but I do feel City is a bit overvalued. It wouldn’t shock me if the Red Devils got a big result in this derby.
