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Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Football Rookies

Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Football Rookies

Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Football Rookies

With the draft less than three weeks away it’s time to start thinking about our dynasty rookie drafts.  This is arguably the best time for the dynasty community. The hope and promise of these players coming into the NFL are huge and every dynasty owner wants to draft the next best quarterback, running back, wide receiver, or tight end. These Dynasty rookie rankings are based on pre-draft information and may change post-draft.

This offseason through countless hours of film and research I have compiled a tiered ranking system to help you through your rookie drafts. Some players could rise within a tier with a solid landing spot however these rankings should not change. Let’s take a look at the most talented players entering the draft! Like the great Marv Levy said, ” Where else would you rather be, than right here, right now!”

MORE ROOKIE FANTASY ANALYSIS

Fantasy Rookies – NFL First Round Picks and Fantasy Football Impacts

Tier 1

Rank Player School Positional Rank
1 Javonte Williams UNC RB01
2 Najee Harris Alabama RB02
3 Ja’Marr Chase LSU WR01
4 Travis Etienne Clemson RB03

 

This tier of players is the cream of the crop, these four players are the most likely to impact your fantasy teams the most and fastest. Ja’Marr Chase is as real as real gets when it comes to receiver prospects. It’s been stated by multiple people he is the best prospect since Amari Cooper, those are big shoes to fill. However, Chase has that ability with his physicality, 4.3 speed, and game-breaking capabilities he is a cornerstone prospect for a dynasty roster.

Williams, Harris, and Etienne are the top three running backs in a weaker class than this past year’s. These three all hold huge potential, Williams and Harris run with more physicality than Etienne. However, Etienne has a speed gear both Harris and Williams lack. All three are capable three-down backs at the next level, as they all are good receivers and blockers. Williams will be the youngest of the group at only 21 years old, and the only Junior running back in this tier. After these three there is a significant drop off at the position.

Tier 2

Rank Player School Positional Rank
5 Kyle Pitts Florida TE01
6 Rashod Bateman Minnesota WR02
7 Devonta Smith Alabama WR03
8 Jaylen Waddle Alabama WR04
9 Trevor Lawrence Clemson QB01
10 Terrace Marshall Jr. LSU WR05

 

As we enter this tier of prospects the upside is still tremendous however the gap of outcomes increases slightly. This tier includes Kyle Pitts a 6-6, 246-pound tight end who is the best tight end prospect we have seen in years. Playing in the SEC he produced back-to-back 600 plus yard seasons and 12 touchdowns this past year. We also see the first quarterback in this tier as Trevor Lawerence arrives on the scene. Lawerence is a first-round talent, as he has produced three 3,000 yard passing seasons in a row in the ACC. His combination of size, mobility, and arm talent makes him one of the best prospects we have seen in years.

https://twitter.com/PFF_College/status/1379198228705464320

We also see a bunch of wide receivers in this tier, the most notably is Devonta Smith this past year’s Heisman Trophy winner. Smith is slightly undersized at 6-0 and 175 pounds. However, he is a crisp route runner with tremendous speed, strong hands, and a huge catch radius. All of this paired with his great work ethic make it hard to not see him succeed at the next level. From one great route runner to another, Rashod Bateman is another great prospect. He had a tremendous 2019 season and then followed that up with a slightly less impressive 2020, mostly due to his multiple opt-in and outs due to covid-19.  The talent is undeniable though and his ceiling is as high as anyone in this tier.

Tier 3

Rank Player School Positional Rank
11 Rondale Moore Purdue WR06
12 Amon-Ra St. Brown USC WR07
13 Tylan Wallace Oklahoma State WR08
14 Elijah Moore Ole Miss WR10
15 Kylin Hill Mississippi State RB04
16 Kenneth Gainwell Memphis RB05
17 Seth Williams Auburn WR11
18 Dyami Brown UNC WR12
19 Micheal Carter UNC RB06
20 Chuba Hubbard Oklahoma State RB07
21 Jermar Jefferson Oregon State RB08
22 Kadarius Toney Florida WR13

 

This is the “Boom or Bust” tier, many of these players have huge upside however carry a huge chance of disappointment. Five of the seven receivers produced at least one 1,000 yard season, only Dyami Brown had two. Elijah Moore has shined the past two years on a bad Ole Miss offense while producing 2,043 yards and 18 touchdowns. He impressed at his pro-day, running a 4.3 40-yard dash and a 6.66-second 3-cone drill. His change of direction speed, route running, and contested-catch ability make for a lethal combination. This could allow him to become the next best slot receiver we see emerge.

The running backs in this tier include Hubbard who had a down season after he produced 2000 yards as a sophomore. He possesses game-breaking speed however he does lack lateral speed and agility. He will also need to work on becoming more of a complete player if he wants to succeed. Kenneth Gainwell is the biggest wild card factor as he produced more than 1,400 yards rushing in 2019, and is a good receiving back. He was able to get to 200 pounds by his pro-day, this is a good thing as he now has the size to be a lead back in the NFL. His ceiling as a fantasy asset is high. However, he also carries a low floor.

Tier 4

Rank Player School Positional Rank
23 Justin Fields OSU QB02
24 Tamorrion Terry Florida State WR14
25 Nico Collins Michigan WR15
26 Pat Freiermuth Penn State TE02
27 Zach Wilson BYU QB03
28 Jaret Patterson Buffalo RB09
29 Trey Sermon OSU RB10
30 Brevin Jordan Miami TE03

 

In this dynasty rookie rankings tier we start to see a good variety of positions, will very wide margins of outcomes. Both Justin Fields and Zach Wilson were productive quarterbacks at the college level, both have great talent. Wilson steadily improved season over season, however, he did not have a 3000-yard passing season till this past year. As to Fields who produced this in his sophomore season and was on pace for it this season, however, the Covid-19 shorten season would not allow that. Both have great arm talent, this allows them to make throws on the run and while in the pocket. Pair this with solid decision making and they are two great NFL prospects as well as fantasy prospects.

https://twitter.com/overtime/status/1379163518621081601

Like the quarterbacks, the second and third tight end’s in Pat Feiermuth and Brevin Jordan enter this tier. They both produced more than 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns in college. However they’re playing styles are much different, as Freiermuth brings the physicality and blocking of a player like Rob Gronkowski. While Jordan brings more agility and elusiveness to his game, like Darren Waller. These two will not bring the upside that Pitts brings, and may need more time to really establish themselves. This should not steer you away though as they will be fantasy relevant for years to come.

 Tier 5

Rank Player School Positional Rank
31 Amari Rodgers Clemson WR16
32 Shi Smith South Carolina WR17
33 D’Wayne Eskridge Western Michigan WR18
34 Elijah Mitchell Louisiana RB11
35 Demetric Felton UCLA RB12
36 Trey Lance North Dakota QB04
37 Rhamondre Stevenson Oklahoma RB13
38 Dez Fitzpatrick Louisville WR19
39 Mac Jones Alabama QB05

 

In the “Senior Bowl Tier”, we see a lot of talented players with big question marks going into the NFL.  One of these players is Elijah Mitchell who has a  very wide range of outcomes, he stands at 5-11 and 218 pounds, this is great size for a lead back in the NFL. While playing in the Sun Belt he produced more than 3,000 yards rushing and 41 touchdowns. He possesses physicality and great speed as he ran a 4.38 40 yard dash at his pro-day. Mitchell will need to work on his blocking and vision issues, but he has all of the tools to become a lead back if he can pull it all together.

https://twitter.com/RayGQue/status/1307407521519464449

Trey Lance is possibly the most naturally gifted quarterback in this class. His great size at 6-4, 226 pounds, and he uses this in the run game. With this he is not afraid to throw his body around and run defenders over, this is not the best plan at the NFL level for a quarterback. This rushing ability paired with his great arm strength has many people clamoring over him. However, he is still very raw and needs at least a season to develop more, that though his upside is huge. Lance could end up being the best fantasy quarterback from this class, but he has equal chances of being the worst.

Tier 6

Rank Player School Positional Rank
40 Tutu Atwell Louisville WR20
41 Dazz Newsome UNC WR21
42 Khalil Herbert Virginia Tech RB14
43 Jonathan Adams Jr. Arkansas State WR22
44 Hunter Long Boston College TE04
45 Cornell Powell Clemson WR23
46 Javian Hawkins Louisville RB15
47 Sage Surratt Wake Forest WR24
48 T.J. Vasher Texas Tech WR25
49 Trevon Grimes Florida WR26
50 Warren Jackson Colorado State WR27

 

The “Dart Throw Tier” is full of guys who don’t check all the boxes as rookies but have great dynasty upside and may climb the rankings. Most of these players will be more valuable to NFL teams than fantasy rosters. With that said some of these players will be steals in your rookie drafts, Hunter Long is one of them. The hype of the big three tight ends is real but Long is everything an NFL team wants in a tight end. He stands 6-5, and weighs in at 253 pounds, he is a great blocker and receiver. His playing style does not contain flare and lacks huge plays after the catch. However, he has produced back-to-back 500-yard seasons and added 7 touchdowns in that span. Long is certainly worth a flier for a tight end needy roster.

This tier also contains many 1,000 yard receivers, the one that stands out to me is Jonathan Adams Jr. He produced 1,111 yards on 79 receptions this past season in the Sun Belt. He would also add 12 touchdowns. His size at 6-3, 220 pounds fits that mold for a prototypical NFL receiver. Adams is a good contested catch receiver who can make plays after the catch as well. He is definitely worth that flier as he could burst onto the scene and become a top fantasy asset and climb the dynasty rookie rankings.

Tier 7

51 Frank Darby Arizona State WR28
52 CJ Marable Coastal Carolina RB16
53 Stevie Scott Indiana RB17
54 Marquez Stevenson Houston WR29
55 Anthony Schwartz Auburn WR30
56 Chris Evans Michigan RB18
57 Ihmir Smith-Marsette Iowa WR31
58 Jaelon Darden North Texas WR32
59 Damonte Coxie Memphis WR33
60 Larry Roundtree Missouri RB19
61 Deon Jackson Duke RB20

This tier of the dynasty rookie rankings is what we would call “The Sleeper Tier,” these rookies have skills to help an NFL roster for sure however they may not impact your fantasy team too much. Frank Darby is a 6-1, 200-pound wide receiver who has great raw talent. While at Arizona State he produced more than 1,300 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. He needs to polish up his routes and work on the overall receiver game, if this happens he could become a solid fantasy asset.

The Complete Dynasty Rookie Rankings

 

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I was born and raised in Buffalo, New York. I am happily married to my wonderful wife Lauren. I am a life long Buffalo Bills and Buffalo Sabres fan. To set the record straight, we don’t always have snow, and we do have the best pizza and wings! I have been playing dynasty fantasy football since 2016. Dynasty fantasy football is my niche, the process it takes to build a dynasty is so rewarding! I am excited to bring my ideas here to The Sports Gambling Podcast. My evaluation process is a two step process, using film study along with statistics and build a case for or against players. With this I determine their viably for fantasy production. 60 percent of the time it works all the time! Picking apart the incoming NFL rookie prospects has become one of my favorite parts of dynasty. My most important goal is to help everyone succeed and enjoy fantasy football as much as I do! Feel free to reach out to me on Twitter.

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