The NFL futures betting market never stops. As we continue to prepare for the 2026 National Football League season, we find ourselves staring at the player props “leaders” market. Today we’ll take a look at the passing stat leaders. Who will lead the league in passing yards and passing touchdowns? Let’s take a look at some of the top bets within the NFL passing yard leaders.
2026 NFL Best Bets: NFL Passing Yards Leaders
Matt Stafford (+850)
Why not start our NFL passing leader bets for the most passing yards with the guy that had the most passing yards last year? That quarterback would be none other than the LA Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford.
Last year, he threw for 4,707 passing yards last year. Not only did Matthew Stafford have a ton of success last year, but he returns his same receiving corps. Puka Nacua has proven to be uncoverable by defenses. It’s no surprise he’s the top target on the team, yet he still continues to put up huge performances. Kyren Williams also chips in out of the backfield.
Stafford is a vet and potentially on his last ride in the league. I have no doubts that if he stays healthy, he’ll be among the leaders in passing yards, and at +850, it is just too juicy to pass up.
Jared Goff (+750)
We’ll go from a former Detroit Lion to the current Detroit Lion. Every year in fantasy football, people sleep on Jared Goff. I get it. He’s not a sexy pick by any means. The same could be said about betting on him. However, that doesn’t stop him from putting up pretty decent numbers every year.
Last year, Goff finished second in passing yards in the NFL. The year before that, Goff finished second. Want to guess where he finished in 2023? Second! Three straight years of finishing second in passing yards, despite having a new offensive coordinator last year. So why couldn’t he finally finish first this year?
He’s still got Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam Laporta, and Jahmyr Gibbs. Aside from some offensive line changes, there shouldn’t be too much different from last year. My favorite bet is to take Matt Stafford to do it again. However, Stafford has some age to him these days. One injury, and Jared Goff could become an easy leader in passing stats.
Dak Prescott (+750)
My third choice for the most NFL passing yards and leaders bets is Dak Prescott at +750. The thought process is simple here. He has one of the best wide receiver duos in the league in CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. When one of them has a bad game, the other can step up and vice versa. Look out when they both have a good game.
Prescott and this offense are also known for throwing the ball. A lot. He also finished third three years ago (he was injured and missed time two years ago). The Cowboys have been such an up-and-down team as of late. This has led to needing to throw the ball more often as well.
I don’t expect that to change. Even though he finished third in passing yards last year, he had more passing attempts than Goff and Stafford.
Drake Maye (+1500)
I went back and forth on who to put next here, Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence. However, I settled on Drake Maye as a longshot bet of +1500 to be the NFL passing yards leader. Last year, in Maye’s first year under Vrabel, the Patriots didn’t just make it to the Super Bowl. Maye finished fourth in passing yards with 4,394.
This offseason, the Patriots continued to build around Maye, upgrading the offensive line. They also traded for AJ Brown. I may feel like this is a bigger upgrade from Stefon Diggs than others. However, Maye should continue to progress. Not only did they bring in Brown, but also Romeo Doubs from the Packers. The starting receivers look to be Brown, Doubs, and Boutte.
Pair all that with Hunter Henry still being reliable and Treveyon Henderson being a big weapon, and I think Maye will remain in the top-5 of passing leaders. Therefore, I have to sprinkle a little on an NFL futures bet that he’ll be the top guy.
Caleb Williams (+2000)
The last NFL passing leaders bet I’ll give out is a homer pick. It’s also a longshot bet. Why not sprinkle a little on Caleb Williams at +2000? I know what you’re saying. “He lost DJ Moore.” I don’t think it’s going to set him back as much as others might think.
He still has Rome Odunze, who should be healthier this year. It’s his second year in Ben Johnson’s system so he should be more familiar and comfortable. Luther Burden is going to be a monster. Plus, he has Coleston Loveland, Cole Kmet, and Sam Rousch at tight end. On top of all that, they added Khalif Raymond, who is familiar with Johnson’s system.
Hopefully the Bears aren’t playing from behind nonstop like last year. However, even if they aren’t, that should let them have a little more fun with some deep shots.
NFL Passing Touchdown Leader
Just for a few passing touchdown leaders to throw out, why not take Matt Stafford at +675? He had 12 more touchdowns than any other player last year. Why gamble on anybody else, especially at such good odds? As I said earlier, I think this is Stafford’s last ride. If he stays healthy all year, he’ll be towards the top of the passing leaders, if not at the very top.
