After an exciting and revamped Home Run Derby, the All-Star Game is upon us. While it’s not the usual slate of action, there are still plenty of ways to get down with the Midsummer Classic. We’ve dug through the stats and trends to give you our All-Star Game best bets.
Before you lay any wagers, you have to know the numbers. We’ve got it all in one easy place, so come check out these All-Star Game picks.
CHECK OUT THE SPORTS GAMBLING PODCAST’S DAILY BEST BETS
2026 MLB All-Star Game Best Bets
Winner: National League (-140)
You can point to the trends as a reason to like the American League, but the fact of the matter is that this is a different group of players every year. If you want to make an informed decision about who is going to win it, you look at the squads.
I think the advantage is obviously with the National League this year. While both teams are loaded with lock down closers, the starting pitching talent of the NL is so much stronger. After Cristopher Sanchez plies his trade on home turf, they still have Chris Sale, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Logan Webb who will toss. The American League is going to see a lot more youth, as well as giving an inning to Justin Verlander and his 12.27 ERA.
The National League has a bit less pop in their bats. However, the strength of the pitching staff should help them keep that ball in the park.
Total: Under 8 Runs (-105)
While the last two All-Star games have been a touch more high scoring, a larger picture shows that it is trending low. Prior to those two games, there were four consecutive games that came in under eight runs. Overall, the under on this number has hit in six of the last nine games.
Another reason to like the under here is how light the National League is on home run power. They average just 13.30 home runs per player, which is lower than any of the past three years. The American League is in a better spot, but their number is carried by a high top of the chart. If the solid starters can get to the reserves without much damage, then this should stay low scoring.
Prop: Kyle Schwarber 1+ Hit (+115)
The top of the order for the National League is a hot spot for a hits prop. In each of the last two Midsummer Classics, the leadoff hitter has recorded a hit for the NL. It’s also happened in three of the last four games. That’s already reason enough to trust Schwarber, who is plenty hot, to get on base once. Then you add in that he’s playing at home and it should be the easiest prop to hit for the whole night.
MVP: James Wood (+2500)
This may seem to come out of nowhere, but hear me out on this one. You might comb through the starting lineups and find players who are much more likely to have a big game. However, the MVP has leaned heavily to players off the bench. Each of the last three and six of the last eight MVPs have been bench players.
Additionally, nine of the last ten All-Star Game MVPs have hit a home run at some point during the night. The lone exception was in 2019 when pitcher Shane Bieber won the award. If you’re looking for a bench bat with a good chance to hit a home run in a lefty-friendly park – look no further.
If you’d like even more info to help make your All-Star Game bets, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes for the whole tournament to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their World Cup picks today.
