Today is the final day before March. This is technically our last Super Saturday of the season. We have a slate of college basketball with over 130 games. Order some food, get comfy on the couch, and lock in with a couple of bets. The slate has been reviewed, the numbers have been crunched, and we’ve found three college basketball picks that you’ll want to have on your card for today’s games. Let’s get into it.
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College Basketball Preview, Picks, and Best Bets for February 28
Matt Dewoskin ATS College Basketball Picks Record (Est 11/3/2025)
All Selections: 173-158-5
Perfect 3-0 Cards: 17-95
Tennessee State at UT-Martin
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Tennessee State comes into this game with a 19-9 overall record and a 9-7 mark on the road. The Tigers are 14-11 overall against the spread and 9-6 ATS on the road.
UT-Martin enters this matchup with a 20-9 overall record and a 12-2 mark at home. The Skyhawks are 14-12 overall ATS and 4-6 ATS at home.
A Tennessee State win would clinch a share of the OVC title. UT-Martin is currently in fourth place and could clinch a share of second place with a win. The Skyhawks can’t dip below fourth place.
These two teams have split the last 10 games in this series against the spread, but Tennessee State is 6-4 over that stretch. The Tigers have won three straight outright and covered two out of the last three matchups. Tennessee State won by seven at home against UT-Martin as a 2.5-point favorite in December.
Tennessee State has won five of its last six and covered in three games. The Tigers have won two of their last three road games outright.
UT-Martin is 5-5 outright and ATS over their last 10 games played. The Skyhawks have lost two of their last three home games outright.
Tennessee State has the better offense, while UT-Martin has done well to limit possessions and scoring opportunities on defense all year. Tennessee State prefers to play at pace, and they’re better from the free-throw line than UT-Martin. The Tigers are also the better rebounding team, and they’re 23rd in turnovers generated per game.
This is likely a one-possession game, and Tennessee State is better at the free-throw game and can take the ball away when they get an opportunity. Let’s roll with Tennessee State to keep this one close and potentially clip UT-Martin.
Best Bet: Tennessee State +3
Detroit Mercy at Oakland
Start Time: 3:00 PM EST
Detroit Mercy enters this game with a 14-14 overall record and a 6-9 road mark. The Titans are 17-9 overall ATS and 10-5 ATS on the road.
Oakland comes into this matchup with a 16-14 overall record and a 7-4 mark at home. The Golden Grizzlies are 17-12 overall ATS and 5-5 ATS at home.
Oakland is in third place in the Horizon League, while Detroit Mercy is tied for fourth. The Golden Grizzlies could secure a second-place finish, while Detroit Mercy could end up in sole possession of fourth place with a win and a Green Bay loss.
Oakland is 8-2 in the last 10 games against Detroit Mercy, but these teams have split ATS. Detroit Mercy lost to Oakland by eight points as a 6.5-point underdog in late January.
The Titans are 6-4 outright and ATS in their last 10 games played. Detroit Mercy has won four of its last five, and is 2-2 in their last four road games.
Neither of these teams really plays defense, but the metrics favor Detroit Mercy. Oakland can score, but Detroit Mercy’s offense isn’t terrible. The Titans are better from the free-throw line, and they’re solid from the field. Detroit Mercy is also a much better rebounding team than Oakland.
This is a regional battle on the last day of the season with both teams playing for conference tournament seeding. Detroit Mercy will need to keep up with Oakland, but they’re also capable of getting a stop or a board. Let’s lock up Detroit Mercy to keep this game within eight.
Best Bet: Detroit Mercy +8.5
Nevada at UNLV
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Nevada enters this matchup with a 19-9 overall record and a 4-6 road mark. The Wolfpack is 16-12 overall ATS and 5-5 ATS on the road.
UNLV comes into this game with a 14-14 overall record and an 8-6 mark at home. The Rebels are 12-15 overall ATS and 6-7 ATS at home.
Nevada could jump into third place in the Mountain West with a win and a New Mexico loss. UNLV is in a three-way tie for sixth place, but a loss wouldn’t hurt its seeding in the conference tournament.
These two teams are 5-5 head-to-head and ATS in the last 10 matchups in this series. However, Nevada has won and covered in four of the last five games played. The Wolfpack won by 13 points at home as a 7.5-point favorite in late January.
Nevada has won six of its last 10, and is 7-3 ATS over that stretch. The Wolfpack has lost four straight road games outright.
UNLV has dropped six of its last 10 and is only 3-7 ATS over that stretch. The Rebels have dropped three of their last five home games.
UNLV struggles to defend the perimeter, and Nevada is 31st in the nation in three-point shooting percentage. Nevada is also a much better team from the free-throw line, and they can stay in front of teams. The rebounding advantage also favors the Wolfpack. Nevada is also the better team at holding on to the basketball.
UNLV home games are usually dead environments unless the team is awesome. This version of the Rebels isn’t awesome, and Nevada is still playing for seeding. Let’s lock up Nevada as the short road favorite.
Best Bet: Nevada -1
The College Basketball Experience
For more analysis of every college basketball game in the 2025-26 season, tune in to The College Basketball Experience. Colby Dant, Moneyline Mac, and Noah Bieniek talk about each game on the entire slate. Listen for input on ATS and moneyline college basketball picks every night!
