College hoops rolls into another Super Tuesday. Tonight’s slate only has 22 games scheduled, but they’re mostly bangers featuring power programs. This is a good time for some big game hunting. We’ve gone through the schedule, crunched the numbers, and discovered three college basketball picks that the books may have mispriced. Let’s get into it.
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College Basketball Preview, Picks, and Best Bets for February 10
Matt Dewoskin ATS College Basketball Picks Record (Est 11/3/2025)
All Selections: 145-132-5
Perfect 3-0 Cards: 13-81
Milwaukee at IU-Indy
Start Time: 6:30 PM EST
Milwaukee enters this matchup with a 9-17 overall mark and a 2-11 record on the road. The Panthers are 9-16 overall against the spread and 5-8 ATS on the road.
IU-Indy comes into this game with a 7-18 overall record and a 5-5 mark at home. The Jaguars are 10-13 overall ATS and 4-4 ATS at home.
Milwaukee has won 10 straight matchups in the last 10 games played in this series. However, IU-Indy has managed to cover five games in the last 10 despite losing outright in every game.
Milwaukee is on a four-game losing streak, but they managed to cover against Northern Kentucky. IU-Indy has only won three of its last 10 overall, but it’s covered in six out of 10 games. These two teams played in January, and IU-Indy clipped the Panthers in Milwaukee as a 9.5-point underdog.
IU-Indy plays at the fourth fastest pace in the country. However, the Jaguars are among the worst defensive teams in the nation. Milwaukee isn’t very good on offense, but IU-Indy barely tries on the defensive end. The Panthers are better at holding on to the ball and are the much better rebounding team.
Milwaukee is on a four-game losing streak, and this has a revenge aspect to it. IU-Indy won’t try on defense, so the Panthers should be able to score. This really depends on how well the Jaguars shoot. IU-Indy is off a win over Cleveland State in which they shot 49% from the field and 43% from three-point range. Both are ahead of their season average.
Let’s take Milwaukee one more time to break the losing streak and get revenge for the home loss. Lock up Milwaukee!
Best Bet: Milwaukee -1
Purdue at Nebraska
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Purdue comes into this game with a 19-4 overall record and a 5-2 road mark. The Boilermakers are 10-13 overall ATS and 4-3 ATS on the road.
Nebraska enters this matchup with a 21-2 overall mark and a 12-1 mark at home. The Cornhuskers are 13-10 overall ATS and 5-8 ATS at home.
Purdue has won eight of the last 10 matchups in this series, but only covered five times over that stretch.
The Boilermakers are 7-3 in their last 10, but only 2-8 ATS over that stretch. However, they were the favorites in all 10 matchups. Nebraska is 8-2 in its last 10, but 6-4 ATS over that stretch. They just won at Rutgers after dropping back-to-back games against Illinois and Michigan.
Purdue comes into this matchup with the better shooting team. Purdue is the 14th most efficient offense in the nation, the 14th best three-point shooting team in the nation, and the 17th best shooting team on two-point shots. Nebraska is a bit better defensively, but Purdue has the better rebounding team.
Purdue is rarely catching points, so we have to take advantage when they are. Nebraska has struggled against the better teams in the Big Ten this year, with losses against Michigan and Illinois, and a failed cover against Michigan State. This is likely a one-possession game, and Purdue is catching one possession. Lock up Purdue and the two points to get the job done tonight.
Best Bet: Purdue +2.5
Wisconsin at Illinois
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Wisconsin enters this game with a 16-7 overall record and a 3-2 road mark. The Badgers are 12-11 overall ATS and 4-1 ATS on the road.
Illinois comes into this matchup with a 20-4 overall record and a 12-1 mark at home. The Fighting Illini are 14-10 overall ATS and 7-6 ATS at home.
Illinois is 9-1 head-to-head against Wisconsin in their last 10 games. The Fighting Illini have covered in eight out 10 games played over that stretch.
Illinois just had a long winning streak broken with a loss at Michigan State. The Fighting Illini have covered in seven of their last 10 games played.
Wisconsin is 7-3 overall in their last 10 games, and 6-4 ATS over that stretch. The Badgers are off a loss at Indiana, but they did steal the cover as a 4.5-point underdog.
It’s terrifying to bet against Illinois in Champaign, but they just laid a similar number against Minnesota at home and failed to cover. Wisconsin is a lot better than the Golden Gophers. Wisconsin has the offensive firepower to stay close to Illinois, and the Badgers were able to steal one from Michigan. This isn’t a moneyline play, but Wisconsin should be able to stay within a dozen points of Illinois.
Wisconsin has proven it can play with taller teams, so Illinois’ height shouldn’t bother them. The Badgers can also handle teams that play at pace. Can they get past a team that has height and pace? Not necessarily, but they can stay within 12 points. Lock up the Badgers to keep this game a little tighter than the line indicates.
Best Bet: Wisconsin +12
The College Basketball Experience
For more analysis of every college basketball game in the 2025-26 season, tune in to The College Basketball Experience. Colby Dant, Moneyline Mac, and Noah Bieniek talk about each game on the entire slate. Listen for input on ATS and moneyline college basketball picks every night!
