Some people like to sweat out a bet for 9 hard innings – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with MLB NRFI and YRFI picks. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our NRFI bets for June 29.
Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the best-hitting team or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these NRFI and YRFI props for June 29. Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.
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MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – June 29
Philadlphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
First Pitch – 1:35 pm EST
Truist Park – Atlanta, GA
Broadcast – MLB TV
In the top of the first, Spencer Strider will toe the rubber. While he had a bit of a rough start, he’s settled into the old version of himself in the last few starts. He has allowed just four earned runs over his last three starts (17.0 innings), and he’s fanned 29 batters in that time. Those numbers would give me faith that he could shut down just about anyone, but I have even more faith against this Phillies squad. They’ve scored one run or less in four of their last five games, and Spencer Strider is the right guy to keep that going.
The bottom of the inning shouldn’t be much of a sweat either. Sean Murphy gave them a boost on Friday with a grand slam in a 6-1 win, but in the three games prior they had been pressed for runs. They scored just three total runs in the three games prior, which includes a pair of shutouts. Scoring won’t likely get much easier with Ranger Suarez on the bump. Over ten starts this year, the Phillies lefty has a 2.08 ERA with 59 strikeouts in just 65.0 innings. He’s also riding back-to-back one run performances and the Braves are likely to break that trend.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for June 29: No (-135)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
First Pitch – 1:35 pm EST
Camden Yards – Baltimore, MD
Broadcast –MLB TV
The Rays are a solid hitting team, but I’m backing the NRFI in this one for two reasons. The first is that while they are a good hitting team, they struggle in the first inning. They come in right around league average when it comes to scoring in the first inning. The second reason is that Dean Kramer is on the bump for Baltimore and he’s been solid lately. In each of his last two outings, he’s held his opponents to just one run. That includes 5.2 innings against the Yankees with seven strikeouts.
The bottom of inning sees Baltimore come to the plate, which is always a good thing for NRFI plays. They rank 26th in the majors when it comes to first inning runs. Now they’ll try to reverse that trend against Taj Bradley. He’s held two of his last three opponents scoreless. The only other game in the last three saw him get hammered by these same Orioles. However, that was still after posting a near perfect first inning.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for June 29: No (+100)
If you’d like even more info to help make your NRFI and YRFI picks for June 29, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their MLB picks today.
