The 2024 season just wrapped up with Joey Logano grabbing his third championship and the third in a row for Penske Racing and Ford. The sportsbooks have wasted no time getting out the odds for the 2025 championship. So with nothing else to do as we wait for the 2025 season to roll around, let’s take a look at the way too early 2025 NASCAR championship odds.
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Maybe there is a bet or two worth placing this early in advance, or you can just see where your favorite driver stacks up in the odds! Last year at this time, Joey Logano opened up at 12/1 odds to win it all. Another driver who made the final four and won the regular season championship, Tyler Reddick opened at 14/1.
Way too Early 2025 NASCAR Championship Odds
Kyle Larson +600
Christopher Bell +600
William Byron +700
Ryan Blaney +700
Joey Logano +850
Tyler Reddick +850
Denny Hamlin +800
Chase Elliott +1200
Ty Gibbs +1800
Chase Briscoe +2000
Brad Keselowski +3000
Ross Chastain +3000
Alex Bowman +3300
Chris Buescher +3300
Kyle Busch +4000
Bubba Wallace +10000
Daniel Suarez +12500
Shane Van Gisbergen +12500
Austin Cindric +12500
Noah Gragson +125000
Carson Hocevar +15000
Austin Dillion +15000
Zane Smith +175000
Josh Berry +20000
Ricky Stenhouse +20000
AJ Allmendinger +20000
Justin Haley +25000
Cole Custer +25000
Erik Jones +25000
Michael McDowell +25000
Ryan Preece +25000
Todd Gilliland +50000
John Hunter Nemechek +50000
Corey Lajoie +75000
Ty Dillion +100000
Way too Early 2025 NASCAR Championship Odds
The Favorites
This is the group that’s hard to bet on almost a year out. Not because they aren’t deserving, because they are. However, you can likely grab them at similar numbers throughout the season, and in some cases like Joey Logano’s slow start in 2024, at much bigger numbers. For those reasons, I’ll monitor all of these drivers going forward but they aren’t getting my money today.
Kyle Larson is the greatest race car driver in the world right now so it’s no question he’s number one on this list. The case against him is he’s only got one, and that was four seasons ago. For Christopher Bell, he’s a penalty at Martinsville away from three straight final four appearances and short-flat tracks like Phoenix are his specialty. William Byron is the opposite of Logano, he starts the season hot but cools off, that being said he still made this year’s final four.
Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano, if you are going to bet someone in this group, how is it not one of these guys? See the last three years for reference, which is also the reason to wait for a dip in their numbers in-season. Tyler Reddick is coming off a strong 2024 breakout campaign as the regular season champion with his first final-four appearance. His car owner Denny Hamlin is always in the mix, but at this point, he is the greatest driver in series history to never win a title (sorry Mark Martin).
Second Tier Favorites
This is where you can start to peak my interest and it starts with Chase Elliott. He races for one of the best organizations in the sport, he’s the 2020 champion and had one of the most consistent seasons in 2024. If he can find victory lane a little more often like his teammates Larson and Byron he could be a serious threat and 12/1 is worth the play.
If you’ve listened to the NASCAR Gambling Podcast, you likely know how much I love the talent of young Ty Gibbs. I wish the number was a little longer for the bet, but let’s circle back when his win total comes out, because I’ll be on the over for that. Chase Briscoe joins Gibbs in the Joe Gibbs Racing stable replacing Martin Truex Jr. he’s an interesting case with Phoenix being one of his best tracks, I’d just like a bigger number.
Brad Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher are both well worth the number they are at. Overall 2024 was a disappointing season for the team, but there was a lot to be hopeful about after their 2023 campaign. They are likely expanding to a three-car operation and that could help them out. Brad is a former champion, and Chris Buescher is a streaky driver who can’t be stopped once he gets rolling.
More Second Tier Favorites
Ross Chastain had a down season in 2024 with just one win and missing the playoffs but we know how dangerous he can be. He made the final four in 2022 and won the 2023 championship race despite not being in the final four. At this number, he’s also worth a strong look. Alex Bowman is a Hendrick driver who should have made the final eight this past season and can’t ever be counted out. He also deserves a look at this number.
Last but not least for this group, Kyle Busch is once again being slept on. 40/1 for the two-time champion who won three races with this team in 2023 is just too long of odds. Last season was a massive disappointment, but there aren’t many wheel-men like Busch around. At just 39 years old Busch still has it in him and if RCR can figure it out Busch can still get it done, he’s a must-bet at 40/1 for me.
Way too Early 2025 NASCAR Championship Odds
The Long-Shots
Past Busch, these guys truly are all long-shots and it isn’t likely any wins the title. Coming off a season where Joey Logano pulled some upsets as the number 15 seed, let’s entertain the idea that a longer shot could get it done. Sometimes it’s fun to have $5 on the Cinderella bet. If nothing else, when they win a few races and make that playoff run it gives you a great story to tell your friends!
Bubba Wallace in a car that’s proven to be title worthy is interesting at 100/1 if you think his big breakout is coming, but he’s still unproven as a title contender. Shane Van Gisbergen is an interesting case with the road courses during the season, and in the playoffs. However, wins won’t come as easy in the Cup Series, and no rookie has ever won the Cup championship.
Austin Cindric made the playoffs this season and even made it past the first round. His teammates have won the last three titles and he’s a former Xfinity Series champion. Could year four be the big breakout everyone has been waiting for, and yet another Penske car wins the title? At 125/1 I could certainly throw a few shekels on that.
At 250/1 Ryan Preece is the other driver who catches my eye for a few reasons. He’s likely going to be in the third RFK car, although at the time of writing that’s not been confirmed. I made a case for both his teammates at 30/1 and 33/1, so at this big of a number he’s worth looking at. With a track like Talladega in the Round of 8, if Preece could somehow find his way to Phoenix, he’s a short track guy and with RFK and Ford backing, we’ve seen how Fords can do in this race.
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