F1 continues its journey through the Americas. After stops in the United States and Mexico, now it’s off to São Paulo, Brazil. There they’ll take on the Autódromo de Interlagos circuit. The 2.677-mile 15-turn course has hosted a variety of Grand Prix on and off since 1972. Let’s take a look at this week’s F1 São Paulo Grand Prix odds and best bets.
Lights out for the São Paulo Grand Prix will happen at 12:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. The last three São Paulo Grand Prix have been won by three different drivers. Lewis Hamilton took home the top step of the podium in 2021. His teammate George Russell took the top spot in 2022. Last season to no surprise, it was Max Verstappen who claimed victory.
It was Ferrari who claimed victory for a second straight week in Mexico with Carlos Sainz winning just a week after his teammate Charles Leclerc won in the United States Grand Prix. Sainz was the fourth driver to win over the last four Grand Prix in F1, a huge change from where the sport was even just earlier this season.
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F1 São Paulo Grand Prix Odds and Best Bets
Odds to Win Via BetUS Sportsbook
Lando Norris +200
Charles Leclerc +240
Carlos Sainz +300
Oscar Piastri +650
Max Verstappen +1100
George Russell +2500
Lewis Hamilton +2500
Sergio Perez +10000
F1 São Paulo Grand Prix Odds and Best Bets
Max Verstappen Podium Finish (+155)
The reigning champ had a, well let’s just say rough week in Mexico last week that was chock-full of penalties and mistakes. The two previous races to that though, Verstappen had no problem placing his Red Bull Racing Honda on the podium at the end of the day. The pendulum has simply swung too far. We used to not be able to get Max to win at a number even close to this and now his podium number has dropped to +155 off of just one bad race.
Verstappen hasn’t always had the best relationship with this circuit, only getting his first win last season. He’s made the podium in two of the last three there as well. One thing to note is that Verstappen is possibly facing an engine change going into this Grand Prix. That would come with a five-place grid penalty, which the books have seemingly baked into the number already. Overtaking is relatively easy in Brazil, and the penalty doesn’t change my opinion here.
Fernando Alonso Points Finish (-110)
Our friends at BetUS are giving out some great lines this week for Formula One. Talk about the pendulum swinging, it has certainly swung on Fernando Alonso as of late. The Aston Martin driver placed on the podium in Brazil last year. In 2022 he finished fifth and in 2021 he still brought it home in ninth for Alpine.
Alonso also had a rough outing in Mexico and finished 13th in the United States, missing out on points in the last two Grand Prix. Before that, Alonso scored points in five of the previous seven races, and finished 11th or better in all seven of them. This is simply too big of an over correction from a few bad races, I like Alonso too 6 (+900) as a long-shot bet as well.
Max Verstappen to Win (+1100)
Even assuming Max takes a five-place grid penalty as mentioned above, I still think there’s value in this number. At 11/1 for a driver who’s continually in contention to win, and getting hungrier and hungrier each race. We’ve seen the frustration of not winning since the Spanish Grand Prix all the way back in June start to show. Verstappen made a handful of big mistakes last week.
Max is the ultimate champion though, I think he’s going to funnel that anger and use it to his advantage. The team will devise a strategy and Max will be aggressive from lights out. In an F1 world where a lot of different drivers can win on a week to week basis, let’s take a great number on one of the best race car drivers in the world.
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