The biggest pro football contests in Las Vegas are back. The Circa Survivor contest returns for the 2024 NFL season with $10,000,000 guaranteed to the winner(s)! The contest is simple: you pick one team straight up every week to win, and if the team loses or ties, the entry is eliminated. You can only pick each team once in a season. Let’s dive into the contest details and then our first six weeks of NFL Survivor picks.
-There is no rake, so if entries go above the guarantee, all extra money will go to the prize pool
-Entries open May 24 and close September 7 at 2 PM
-You must register in person at a Circa Sportsbook in Nevada (Las Vegas, Henderson, or Sparks/Reno)
-Weekly picks can be made through a proxy (that you’ll register with) from anywhere
-$10,000,000 guaranteed to the winner(s)
-$1,000 per entry, with a maximum of 10 entries per person
-Go 20-0 or be the last person standing to win
-If a single person wins, they get the entire pot. If multiple people go 20-0, or if multiple people are
eliminated the same week to reduce the contest to 0, they split the pot.
-Thanksgiving and Black Friday combine for a week
-Christmas Day and December 26 combine for a week
-Last year, four winners split 9.2 million for 2.3 million each
2024 Circa Survivor Contest – Six Weeks of NFL Survivor Picks
There are a few notables as far as strategy is concerned. With Thanksgiving and Black Friday counting as their own week, along with Christmas Day and December 26th counting as an additional week, you’ll want to consider the teams you’d pick those weeks if you make it that far and try not to burn them beforehand. Neither of these “weeks” are very easy to pick, especially this far ahead.
The Cowboys at home vs the Giants are the team I’ll be reserving for Thanksgiving. For Christmas, give me the Chiefs at the Steelers, I’m not deeply in love with this pick, but it seems to be the best pick for what’s available, the Bears over the Seahawks could be in consideration as well.
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All you have to do is go to Football Contest.com, select the package you need, enter code “SGP” for $50 off, and LET IT RIDE! Once you make your initial trip to Vegas, you just need to work with the fine folks over at Football Contest to find a proxy to do the rest.
Get in on the action today and get ready to win big all season long with the Sports Gambling Podcast and Football Contest.com.
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Week 1 Survivor Pick – New Orleans Saints
Let’s roll the dice early. The popular Week 1 pick is going to be the Cincinnati Bengals, who are 9.0-point favorites over the New England Patriots. Sometimes chalk is okay, but let’s be different if we can. The Saints are taking on the Carolina Panthers at home in the comfort of the Caesars Superdome.
The Panthers are heading into year two of a Bryce Young experiment that hasn’t gone well so far. The Saints have beaten the Panthers in nine of their last 12 matchups. Derek Carr and company are coming off a solid 9-8 record in 2023.
Week 2 Survivor Pick – Baltimore Ravens
The Las Vegas Raiders head to Baltimore in Week 2, where they are projected to be the biggest underdog of the week. This one likely will be the chalky pick of the week, but that’s okay.
The Ravens are one of the best teams in the league and are led by reigning MVP Lamar Jackson. The Raiders are a project that may start either Gardner Minshew or Aiden O’Connell at quarterback.
Week 3 Survivor Pick – Cincinnati Bengals
We didn’t have to wait long. Everyone else used them in Week 1, and we turned around and had them available in Week 3. The Washington Commanders and rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels come to Paul Brown Stadium to visit Joe Burrow and the Bengals.
The look ahead to this one has the Bengals at 7.0 favorites. Daniels has a lot of upside to be a good quarterback, but how soon will that happen? The team around him needs more time to improve. Give me Stogie Joe.
Week 4 Survivor Pick – Detroit Lions
This is another week to get different. The 49ers will be a popular pick as 11.5-point favorites over New England. They’d be a fine pick for this week, but so would the Lions. Dan Campbell is going to have this team firing on all cylinders by Week 4.
The Seahawks are still adjusting to a new head coach, and their quarterback could be Geno Smith or Sam Howell at this point. They’ll go into a loud dome of excited Detroit fans and have difficulty keeping up with Detroit’s high-flying offense.
Week 5 Survivor Pick – Cleveland Browns
Another possible week to use San Francisco here as 9.5-point favorites against Arizona. Let’s keep them in our back pocket for now, though. I’m all for fading the Raiders and their new coaching staff and lack of quarterback play.
This will depend on how Cleveland looks at this point in the season, but if they can be half of what they were with Joe Flacco under center last year, they should be able to take care of business here.
Week 6 Survivor Pick – Atlanta Falcons
Hopefully, by this point in the season, Kirk Cousins has established himself as the quarterback we all know he can be. The Carolina Panthers come to town to take on Cousins and his Falcons. This is another lopsided divisional opponent for the Panthers.
The Falcons have won 11 of the last 15 matchups between the teams. The look-ahead number has the Falcons at 3.5 favorites.
