The UFL is entering its sixth week, and the opportunity to make money on it is still available. This week, we’ll be looking to see if the Stallions can keep rolling and cover the largest spread of the year. We’ll see if DC really is that bad or if the Battlehawks were just that good. Let’s take a look at the UFL Week 6 picks, predictions, and best bets.
Just to add to the fun, we’re going to start a running bank total of fake money. Each week, there will be $10,000 in bets. Because who doesn’t have $10,000 lying around to bet on the UFL? I’m not telling you to bet $10K. I’m just showing you how I would split the unit on these games. We went 4-0 last week. Let’s keep it rolling!
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UFL Week 6 Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets
Birmingham Stallions (-11.5) @ Memphis Showboats, Total: 43
This truly feels like the best team in the league against the worst team in the league. Birmingham is scoring 26.4 points per game, while Memphis is allowing 26 points per game. Memphis is only scoring 17 points per game, while Birmingham is allowing a league-low 13.4 points per game. A score of 26-13 feels appropriate.
There is some hesitation in jumping on the Stallions with such a big spread if Matt Corral starts. Corral is a good quarterback, but he hasn’t been as dominating as Adrian Martinez. However, some of that is due to his last start being in a downpour.
Last week, Memphis decided to start Troy Williams against the Panthers rather than Case Cookus. While he had a respectable 19/37, 248 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interception stat line, they lost to the Panthers 35-18. If the Panthers can beat them 35-18, the Stallions should be able to beat them by more.
Sometimes, you have to avoid overthinking things. Sometimes, you can’t get cute with your picks. Yes, it is Spring Football, and the UFL can be varied from week to week. However, the Stallions have lost three games in two and a half seasons now. Memphis isn’t going to slow them down, no matter who is at quarterback for each team.
UFL Week 6 Best Bet: Stallions (-11.5) $4,000
Houston Roughnecks @ St. Louis Battlehawks (-12.5), Total: 48.5
The Roughnecks are coming off a 32-9 beatdown from the Birmingham Stallions, while the Battlehawks are coming off a 45-12 beating of the DC Defenders. On paper, it looks easy enough to just blindly take the Battlehawks here. Depending on what book you are looking at, you can find them anywhere from 10.5-point favorites to 12.5-point favorites.
The Battlehawks’ offense is really starting to click. At 29.6 points per game, they’re the top-scoring offense in the league. The defense is starting to show up now, too. In the past two games, they’ve shut out their opponent in the second half. The defense was looked at as a weakness, and it may not be weak anymore.
The Roughnecks are on the other side of things. They’ve only put one win together against a pitiful Arlington team. Their defense is clicking at times, and Reid Sinnett looks good now and then, but consistency has been the issue. They’ve also not been coached well.
Coach Curtis Johnson was criticized for only running the ball 11 times last week. I think he flips the script this week and runs the ball—maybe too much, but it’ll slow the game down and keep the Battlehawks’ offense off the field. Mark Thompson should finally start getting into a rhythm.
I don’t think the Roughnecks can win this game, but I think they can keep it a 10-point game. This line is overinflated because the Battlehawks are coming off a big win and the Roughnecks are coming off a huge loss.
However, the win was an emotional victory of revenge against DC, and the Battlehawks have the Birmingham Stallions on deck. This classic look-ahead spot gives them a little bit of a scare against a lesser team.
UFL Week 6 Best Bet: Roughnecks +12.5 ($2,000)
Arlington Renegades @ Michigan Panthers (-3.5) Total 42
The Luis Perez truthers had tears dropping in their cereal as their team dropped to 0-5. It’s not all Perez’s fault, as his offensive line is terrible, and he’s not a quarterback who excels when he has to run for his life from the pass rush.
That presents a massive problem for the Renegades as they go to Michigan, which has a fierce pass rush and a fierce defense. Arlington is the former XFL Champion, even though the situation that led them to winning was odd. You have to think they’re going to pull together and eventually win a game.
I don’t think it’s this week, though. The Panthers’ defense has been one of the best all season. Now, their offense is clicking with quarterback Danny Etling. He can’t run like EJ Perry could, but he throws the ball a whole lot better. Arlington continues to sit in their woes. Michigan continues to prove they belong in the conversation of the top teams.
UFL Week 6 Best Bet: Panthers (-3.5) $1,500
San Antonio Brahmas (-1.5) @ DC Defenders, Total: 42.5
This line is fishy and downright stinks. The Brahmas are coming off a 25-15 victory over the aforementioned Renegades. Meanwhile, DC just got destroyed at home by the Battlehawks. With the Brahmas at 4-1 and DC sitting at 2-3, why is this line so close?
It shouldn’t be. You’d expect the Brahmas to be at least a three or four-point favorite. Instead, the line opens at -1.5, and you can even find it at -1 on some books. It doesn’t make sense, and it seems like the books are just begging you to take the Brahmas.
Don’t get me wrong, the Brahmas have looked pretty good. Their offense was clicking, though now that Garbers is out, they’re rolling with Quentin Dormady, who has inconsistencies. The defense has also looked solid. However, I can’t help but look at that line and feel like something is fishy.
DC lost at Audi Field for the first time last week. Since playing there in 2020, they had never lost a home game. I don’t think they lose two in a row. Despite not having the same team as last year and struggling, DC still has a lot of pride. I think Reggie Barlow will have his guys ready to go, and they’ll take this game.
UFL Week 6 Best Bet: DC Moneyline +1,000, DC (+1.5) $1,500
