NBA First FG Props – April 26

First FG Props April 26 - NBA First FG Props - First FG bets - Come tail along with these gems today with usSome people like to sweat out a bet for 48 hard minutes – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with NBA first FG props. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our first FG bets for April 26. Go here for NBA Championship odds.

Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the most popular player or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these first FG props for April 26.

Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.

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NBA First FG Props – April 26

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers

Tipoff – 7:00 pm EST
Gainbridge Fieldhouse – Indianapolis, Indiana
Broadcast – ESPN

Brook Lopes has way better numbers on the jumpball than Myles Turner. With a 59.0% win percentage, he’s 16.5% higher than Turner. But if that’s not already enough for you, the Bucks have won the tip in both the games of this series. Also, while they split the first field goals in the first two games of this series, the Bucks were vastly superior at scoring first during the regular season. The Bucks finished third in the league in that category, while the Pacers were 25th.

While Brook Lopez got it done on the tip and the bucket in game one for the Bucks, that’s not the typical first scorer against the Pacers. As they closed on the season, the bulk of their first bucket concessions happen to be to outside shooters. With that being the case, I’m looking for some Dame Time early on in this one. The number on Lillard seems about right to be here.

First FG Bet for April 26: Damian Lillard (+500)

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns

Tipoff – 10:30 pm EST
Footprint Center – Phoenix, Arizona
Broadcast – ESPN

This is a game, and series, where I expect a little regression to the mean. If you just look at the two games in this series so far, you’ll see that the Timberwolves have both of the first buckets. However, that’s wildly abnormal given that the Suns have a 31.0% advantage on the tip on the year and a 7.9% lead on the first buckets. It’s hard to just lean on the ‘they’re due’ concept, but this really feels like the results aren’t matching the data.

In both games this series, Kevin Durant has come out shooting. He’s taken the first shot in both games and neither of them were all that crazy. After missing two starters in a row, he doesn’t strike me as a guy to give up. I expect him to keep firing away early and we’ll take a stab that he sinks one here.

First FG Bet for April 26: Kevin Durant (+500)

 

If you’d like even more info to help make your first FG bets for April 26, check out the NBA Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar. 

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