Hey – want to know a secret? Scoring is way down in the NBA since the All-Star break, and the bookmakers haven’t reacted to this fact yet. So we’re getting the majority of the game totals going under. With that in mind, here are my NBA picks for March 13th. Go here for the latest NBA odds.
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NBA Picks March 13th
Chicago Bulls vs. Indiana Pacers
Tipoff – 7:30 pm EST
Spread: Pacers -4.5
Total: 233.5
Normally this season if you were going to play the total in an Indiana Pacers game, you’d want to take the Over. But, like I said in the opening, things have changed.
The Pacers are averaging a league-best 123 points per game, but they’ve only topped this number once in their last five games. The Chicago Bulls, meanwhile, didn’t even crack 100 in their last outing. Based on these two teams recently play, you’d expect the total in this game to be about 226, so Under 233.5 is the play.
Best Bet: Bulls/Pacers Under 233.5 (-110)
Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat
Tipoff – 7:30 pm EST
Spread: Nuggets -3.5
Total: 214.5
I’m throwing a curveball here and taking an Over for the NBA Finals rematch between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat. The books seem to have overadjusted, at least for this game.
For the season you’d expect these two teams to get into the mid-220s in terms of the total. When you base it on their last five games, it makes me lean even more toward the Over. Denver has averaged 123 points per game over this span; Miami has scored 112 a game. Over 214.5 is the play for this one.
Best Bet: Nuggets/Heat Over 214.5 (-115)
If you’d like even more info to help make your NBA bets for March 13th, check out the NBA Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar.