NASCAR Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway Odds, Picks and Best Bets

NASCAR Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway Odds, Picks and Best Bets

The NASCAR Cup season is well underway and off to a great start, with three races in the books. William Byron, Daniel Suárez, and Kyle Larson have all scored a victory and checked a box toward their spot in the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs. Let’s get into the NASCAR Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway with odds, picks, and best bets!

This week, it’s off to Phoenix Raceway, home of the championship race once again in 2024. Each team is hoping to be one of the four to make it back here in November and compete for a Cup Series title.

Phoenix Raceway will be another different style of racing we haven’t seen yet this season. The short-flat tri-oval track in Avondale, Arizona, is 1 mile in distance and banked no more than 11 degrees in any spot. It’ll offer a new challenge for the stars of the NASCAR Cup Series.

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NASCAR Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway Odds, Picks and Best Bets

Kyle Larson +700
Ryan Blaney +800
Ross Chastain +800
William Byron +800
Denny Hamlin +1000
Christopher Bell +1000
Martin Truex Jr +1000
Kyle Busch +1200
Joey Logano +1400
Ty Gibbs +1600
Chase Elliott +1800
Tyler Reddick +1800
Brad Keselowski +2000
Chris Buescher +2000
Alex Bowman +3000
Chase Briscoe +3000
Bubba Wallace +3000
Josh Berry +8000
Austin Dillion +10000
Daniel Suarez +10000
Erik Jones +10000
Michael McDowell +10000
Noah Gragson +10000
Austin Cindric +20000
Carson Hocevar +20000
Corey Lajoie +20000
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Ricky Stenhouse +50000
Zane Smith +50000
Daniel Hemric +100000
Harrison Burton +100000
Todd Gilliland +100000
Justin Haley +200000
Derek Kraus +200000
Kaz Grala +500000

Tyler Reddick Top 5 (+225 Caesars)

Reddick came painstakingly close to catching Kyle Larson in the closing laps last week at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, but like he did in both stages, Reddick had to settle for a second place to Larson. Reddick should enter this weekend with a chip on his shoulder after being so close last week.

Tyler Reddick has mixed results here at Phoenix Raceway. In the two fall championship races in the NextGen car, where Reddick had already been eliminated from the playoffs, his finishes were unimpressive at 22nd and 23rd.

However, when things were clicking for him early in the two spring races, Reddick finished third in both races. The books are offering a very generous line here for a top-five finish for Reddick.

Chase Briscoe Over Chris Buescher (-110 Superbook)

Chase Briscoe has been a solid driver on the short flat tracks in his career. His one career win came in this race at Phoenix Raceway just two seasons ago. In three of the four races in the Generation 7 car at Phoenix, Briscoe has finished inside of the top seven.

Chris Buescher had a strong run in the fall, securing a fifth-place finish, the best of his career at Phoenix. Before that fifth-place run, in 15 starts, Buescher had never finished better than 10th place. Looking at the three races in the new car at Phoenix before the fall race, Briscoe was three for three in beating Chris Buescher.

The immediate reaction to these two being paired up is to lean to Buescher, but when you add the short-flat track element Phoenix brings, Briscoe shines on his best style of track. Briscoe is also worth a look at betting to win the race (30/1).

Ryan Blaney Top 3 Finish (+250 Superbook)

Kevin Harvick used to be the most automatic bet you could make at Phoenix, finishing his career with 19 straight top-10 finishes. Ryan Blaney is quickly trying to carry that torch on for NASCAR bettors. In seven of his last ten races here, the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series champion has finished inside the top four.

Blaney has three straight second-place finishes at Phoenix. The only reason he didn’t win the 2022 fall race here is that he played the good teammate and stayed on defense while Penske Racing teammate Joey Logano cruised away to his second championship. In nine of his last ten races here, Blaney has finished 10th or better. While nothing is guaranteed, it’s hard to find a better bet than this.

Kyle Larson to Win (+700 Superbook)

After Kyle Larson’s performance last week at Las Vegas, it’s hard to believe they are hanging this high of a number on him. The only reason to hesitate on Larson is that with his win last week, he’s virtually locked into the playoffs. That could lead to the team punting on this race and testing things for the championship race in the fall, which Larson expects to be in the final four for.

Tyler Reddick to Win (+1800 Superbook)

This number is simply just far too long for Tyler Reddick. The 23XI driver has two straight third-place finishes in this spring Phoenix race. Coming off that strong showing at Las Vegas, Reddick is going to be hungry for a win.

 

If you’ve listened to the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST at all this year, you know Tyler Reddick is my favorite pick this season. I think his road to coming back to Phoenix in the fall with the championship on the line starts this weekend in victory lane.

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