UFC Mexico City: Moreno vs Royval 2 comes to you from Arena CDMX. The lighter weight classes are on display with the main event featuring a flyweight rematch that could potentially crown the next challenger for Alexandre Pantoja’s belt. That’s not the only flyweight action either – there’s four more bouts in that division sure to bring high-paced action. We’ve dug through the full card to give you our UFC Mexico City picks. Come check out these UFC Mexico City bets.
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UFC Mexico City: Moreno vs Royval 2 – Predictions & Best Bets
Ricky Turcios +3.5 (+100) vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
A lot more books are now offering these spreads and I can’t think of a better place to exploit them than this fight.
Turcios is known to be a durable guy. He’s been finished just one time in his career and it was with strikes on the regional scene. Rosas, despite his last win, isn’t likely to get it done with hands. Additionally, he’s had issues with cardio in the past and will be fighting at elevation here. Given those factors, I expect Turcios to at least be able to steal a late round here, if not the fight as a whole.
Daniel Zellhuber – Wins via (T)KO (+205)
Zellhuber hasn’t gotten a finish via strikes in his three fights in the UFC – nor his fight on the Contender Series for that matter. However, before coming to the UFC, he was a finishing machine. Nine of his eleven wins on the regional scene came by way of finish.
He just may have found the right opponent here for that as well. Francisco Prado is a guy who plods forward and can be rather stationary. He loads up on his strikes and will be fighting at elevation – which he’s not used to. With an eight-inch reach advantage to go with this all, I think Zellhuber can get a stoppage with the hands here.
Manuel Torres ML (-185) vs Chris Duncan
Manuel Torres has five straight first-round finishes. While Duncan has shown moments in fights where he appears quite durable, he’s extremely hittable. Viacheslav Borshchev found his chin on Contender Series and Charlie Campbell nearly did the same. I think it’s going to be hard for Duncan to avoid the nuke from Torres.
Also, while it’s likely to be a knockout here, the finishing props don’t make the line that much nicer. As a result, we’ll stick to the moneyline here.
Brandon Moreno – Wins Inside the Distance (+150)
Brandon Moreno hasn’t won a fight that has hit the cards since the UFC shut down for the pandemic. His increased pressure has made it much easier for him to dole out the damage to his opponents.
Royval is hardly a guy who walks away from that kind of fight. He wants to be in a brawl and isn’t afraid to take one to give one. Against a guy like Pantoja, who is willing to spend large chunks of the fight in top control, that may be sustainable. However, against someone out here getting doctor’s stoppages, it likely won’t hold up.
Jesus Aguilar ML (+130) vs Mateus Mendonca
It’s hard to gauge just how good Aguilar is after two fights in the UFC. He lost a decision to Tatsuro Taira in his debut – which is a loss that aged well. In his sophomore effort, he knocked out Shannon Ross who was KOed in every UFC fight he had – as well as on Contender Series. But what I did see in those fights was the ability to hit nice takedowns and work on top.
Mendonca had real issues with Nate Maness’ striking, which led to Maness’ only win at flyweight. Given that Aguilar may have the grappling advantage as well, I see a lot of value here.
Raoni Barcelos ML (-175) vs Cristian Quinones
Cristian Quinones had some real issues with his grappling defense in his last fight. Kyung Ho Kang took him down in the first couple minutes and went right to the rear naked choke. Barcelos might be even better when it comes to jiu jitsu and can likely hang on the feet with Quinones as well. The moneyline here is far too low for the veteran.
If you’d like even more UFC Mexico City: Moreno vs Royval 2 Picks, be sure to check out the MMA Gambling Podcast. The guys are dropping weekly episodes to make you the smartest guy at the bar.
