Everybody loves an underdog story. Nothing is better than bragging to the entire bar about the plus-money bet you just cashed. Predicting a college football upset can give you a high that makes you feel like you’re standing on the mountaintop. You can bet these Week 10 College Football upsets against the spread, as single moneyline plays, or as a parlay, and you could be the Tailgate Hero. Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast Network Animal Shelter. Let’s find you a dog.
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Week 10 College Football Upsets: Moneyline Parlay
+4196 The College Football Experience Parlay
We here at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network love large odds. Some people say parlay betting is dumb, but when you treat a moneyline underdog parlay like a lottery ticket, it’s not. Let me explain. Many folks are avid lotto players. For example, Mega Millions and Powerball. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot is 1 in 292.2 million, and even lower for Mega Millions at 1 in 302.6 million.
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There are 15 slates of college football. If you were to place just one $2 college football parlay each week, that’s a $30 dollar bet total. With just one correct +4196 The College Football Experience Parlay, that’s $53.91 of profit, $137.82 if two hit, $221.73 for three, etc.
Are you feeling more frisky? Those profit amounts increase incrementally with just a few extra dollars on each moneyline underdog parlay. Lastly, in case you weren’t already sold, I can promise you that watching Missouri, Miami Florida, and BYU play college football is more entertaining than 40 seconds of ping-pong balls.
Week 9 Recap
Oklahoma State beat Oklahoma in the last Battle of Bedlam for the foreseeable future. Kansas State made an incredible comeback against Texas but missed a field goal in the final minutes that would’ve been the deciding factor between a win and going to overtime and losing. Instead, the game went into overtime, where the Wildcats failed to score a touchdown on four straight plays from Texas’ 4-yard line. Marshall got cooked by Appalachian State in the nightcap.
College Football Picks Record (All 1 Unit Bets)
Every ML Dog Pick: 10-23 (-0.8 units)
Dundee’s Dogs: 5-6 (+6.6 units)
Noah’s Dogs: 5-16 (-5.4 units)
Dundee’s Dog: BYU Moneyline +195
(-7.5) Iowa State at BYU (O/U 41)
Each week, I will write up Pick Dundee, aka Colby Dant’s favorite college football upset prediction. Dant is the host of the Sports Gambling Podcast Network’s CFB podcast, “The College Football Experience.” Dundee also loves a good college football parlay and is well known for his success betting moneyline dogs. His favorite Week 11 plus-money-play is BYU to knock off Iowa State.
Dant believes that Provo is one of the best home environments in all of college football. BYU is 4-0 when playing at LaVell Edwards Stadium. The Cougars also will have an extra motivation to win this game because Iowa State was the only Big 12 institution that voted against BYU’s inclusion in the Big 12. Brigham Young fans, players, and staff believe that it is because of their religious beliefs.
Even though starting QB Kedon Slovis is out for this game with an injury, backup Jake Retzlaff should be fine. Retzlaff was thrown into the fire last week and had to start a game in Morgantown, another really good home environment. The Junior completed 24 of his 42 passes for 210 yards. With a better defensive showing, BYU will get just enough from Retzlaff and the offense to be in contention of winning this game outright.
Dog #2: Missouri Moneyline +120
(-2.5) Tennessee at Missouri (O/U 58.5)
Tennessee is 1-2 in road games this season. Head Coach Josh Heupel has only won three of his last six road games with the Volunteers. Missouri is 4-1 at home this season. The lone loss in Columbia for the Tigers was when LSU scored 14 points in the final 30 seconds to usurp the undefeated record earlier this season.
Especially on the road, Tennessee QB Joe Milton can’t be trusted. The Volunteers are averaging just 23 points per game on the road compared to 40.6 per game at Neyland Stadium. Milton is a big reason why that’s the case. From watching Milton, it’s easy to see that he can only throw the ball 30 yards. If a receiver runs a 40-yard route, the throw will come up short. If a receiver runs a 15-yard route, the ball goes sailing over their head. The QB prospect lacks consistency.
Missouri QB Brady Cook, on the other hand, has been consistent. The Tigers rank 25th in passing yards per game. With stud WR Luther Burden III, Cook should be able to have a bounce-back game after facing Georgia’s haunted secondary last week.
Dog #3: Miami Florida Moneyline +450
Miami Florida at (-14.5) Florida State (O/U 51)
It’s not a secret that Miami, Florida, has had a tumultuous season so far. Head Coach Mario Cristobal’s last-minute blunder against Georgia Tech is still haunting Canes fans. What else also haunts Miami, Florida, is last season’s result to Florida State: a 45-3 blowout loss.
A few weeks ago, we just saw Oklahoma beat Texas. That Sooners win came a season after the Longhorns beat them 49-0. It’s not too far out of the realm for the Hurricanes to beat the Seminoles here. After all, the underdog has won outright in 12 of the last 25 matchups between “The U” and FSU. It would be a legendary moment for the rivalry if Miami, Florida, were to eliminate Florida State from College Football Playoff contention.
Florida State’s explosive offense may be missing its two best receivers due to injury this week. Jonny Wilson has missed the last two games, and Keon Coleman missed last week’s game. I expect Miami to be a live dog and pound the rock to try to muck this game up. The Canes are 41st nationally in rush yards per game (176.6), and Florida State has given up 140.2 rushing yards per game (60th).
The College Football Experience
For more analysis and entertainment on these games, make sure you turn into The College Football Experience. Colby Dant, PattyC, and NC Nick talk about each FBS game and mix in some FCS games, giving out moneyline and ATS college football picks every Wednesday!
