NFL Week 9 is in the books, and we are officially halfway through the NFL season! There are a few great data points for the season and historically for NFL Referees. Nonetheless, we are on to NFL Week 10, and there are plenty of referee trends to discuss for the NFL Week 10 Referee Report!
I always put this out as a disclaimer: the NFL Referee Report is not something that you should bet blindly on. Instead, it should be an extra data point in your handicapping. Let’s dive into the NFL Week 10 Referee Report.
Go here for info on the NFL Awards odds.
CHECK OUT MORE FREE NFL PICKS HERE!
NFL Week 10 Referee Report: Betting Stats and Trends
Scott Novak
In a year where Unders are dominating this season, Scott Novak is at the forefront of trending towards the Under. In fact, over the last two seasons, games officiated by Novak are 17-7 (70.8%) to the Under. This season, the Under is 6-2 in those games.
This week, Novak is assigned to officiate the non-conference game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Green Bay Packers. Lastly, the Steelers are 7-1 to the Under, 4-1 at home, and the Packers are 5-3 to the Under.
Best Bet: Packers/Steelers Under 39
Brad Rogers
Brace yourself. This one may get ugly. In his career, Brad Rogers has been a profitable NFL referee to underdogs. During his career, Rogers is 40-27 (59.7%) to underdogs. Though this season, underdogs are just 3-5, if there was ever a game where the underdog needed a trendy underdog ref, it’s the New York Giants.
The Giants go into Dallas this week as a 16.5 underdog with a third-string quarterback starting.
Best Bet: Giants +17
Land Clark
Over the last two seasons, Land Clark has been very favorable to road teams that are underdogs. In fact, over the last seasons, road underdogs are 7-3-1 (70%) ATS. This season, road teams overall are 6-2 (75%) ATS and 6-2 (75%) SU.
In NFL Week 10, Land Clark is assigned to officiate the AFC North battle between the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens.
Best Bet: Browns +6.5 & +250 ML
