NFL Week 8 is in the books, and another rough week for best bets. However, now close to the midway point of the season, we have some great data points to work with. Nonetheless, we are on to NFL Week 9, and there are plenty of referee trends to discuss for the NFL Week 9 Referee Report!
I always put this out as a disclaimer: the NFL Referee Report is not something that you should bet blindly on. Instead, it should be an extra data point in your handicapping. Let’s dive into the NFL Week 9 Referee Report.
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NFL Week 9 Referee Report: Betting Stats and Trends
John Hussey
John Hussey has trended towards the home teams over the past several seasons. In fact, since the 2016-2017 season, home teams are 76-36 (67.9%) SU. Further, home teams this season are 4-3 SU and 4-2-1 ATS.
This week, Hussey is assigned to officiate the Thursday Night Football game between the Titans visiting the Steelers.
Best Bet: Steelers -3 & Steelers ML -155
Shawn Smith
Thus far this season, Shawn Smith’s officiated games have been overwhelmingly favorable to road teams. Additionally, the Under has been a very profitable bet this season in the NFL, especially in games officiated by Shawn Smith and his crew. In fact, the Under is 6-1 in games officiated by Smith, with an average total of 44.4 points.
The NFL Week 9 assignment for Smith and his crew is in the Minnesota Vikings visiting the Atlanta Falcons. Keep in mind the Vikings are without starting quarterback Kirk Cousins for the rest of the season.
Best Bet: Vikings/Falcons Under 37.5
Clay Martin
In a season where Unders have dominated this year at close to 60%, Clay Martin officiated games are 5-2 to the Over, averaging 53.9 points per game. Further, over the last two seasons, the Over is 14-9 in games officiated by Clay Martin and his crew.
In NFL Week 9, Martin is assigned to officiate the game in Germany between the Dolphins and the Chiefs. Lastly, the Dolphins are 5-3 towards the Over in their games this season.
Best Bet: Dolphins/Chiefs Over 51