Everybody loves an underdog story. There’s nothing better than bragging to the entire bar about the plus-money bet that you just cashed. Predicting a college football upset can give you a high that makes you feel like you’re standing on the mountaintop. You can bet these Week 5 College Football upsets against the spread, as single moneyline plays, or as a parlay, and you could be the Tailgate Hero. Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast Network Animal Shelter. Let’s find you a dog.
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Week 5 College Football Upsets: Moneyline Parlay
+3442 The College Football Experience Parlay
We here at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network love large odds. Some people say parlay betting is dumb, but when you treat a moneyline underdog parlay like a lottery ticket, it’s not. Let me explain. Many folks are avid lotto players. For example, Mega Millions and Powerball. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot is 1 in 292.2 million, and even lower for Mega Millions at 1 in 302.6 million.
The notorious slogan is, “risk a little to win a lot.” What if I told you that you could place your $2 entry fee on a measured college football moneyline underdog parlay where you can select your winning numbers based on analysis instead of a machine randomly doing it for you? This week’s college football upset picks would pay out $70.84 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
You can download the DraftKings app and use our code “SGP” on your first deposit. When you do that and bet $5 on any college football pick, you get $200 in bonus bets instantly!
There are 15 slates of college football. If you were to place just one $2 college football parlay each week, that’s a $30 dollar bet total. With just one correct +3442 The College Football Experience Parlay, that’s $40.84 of profit, $111.68 if two hit, $182.52 for three, etc.
Are you feeling more frisky? Those profit amounts increase incrementally with just a few extra dollars on each moneyline underdog parlay. Lastly, in case you weren’t already sold, I can promise you that watching Ole Miss, South Alabama, and Kansas play college football is more entertaining than 40 seconds of ping-pong balls.
Week 4 Recap
We’re four weeks into the season. There have been five editions of this article so far. Week 4 was the first time we’ve been skunked this year. When playing dogs to win outright, our outcomes will vary. I was super frustrated about the Notre Dame loss and for good reason. On the last two plays THEY ONLY HAD 10 GUYS ON THE FIELD.
College Football Picks Record (Units Based on a $10 Bet)
Every ML Dog Pick: 5-10 (+2.35 units)
Dundee’s Dogs: 2-3 (+3.55 units)
Noah’s Dogs: 3-6 (+.8 units)
Dog #1: Ole Miss Moneyline +120
(-2.5) LSU at Ole Miss (O/U 67)
After getting embarrassed by big bad Nick Saban, Ole Miss Head Coach Lane Kiffin has gone dark and disabled his Twitter/X account. Ole Miss circled The Magnolia Bowl in the preseason. LSU is the biggest home game in Oxford, Mississippi, in 2023. This is when the Rebs get hot.
Reuniting the 2003 @OleMissFB squad this weekend as we celebrate the 2️⃣0️⃣ year anniversary of their SEC West Championship!
What are some of your favorite memories of the ’03 Rebs?! #HottyToddy pic.twitter.com/K3BvMYl7t4
— Ole Miss Athletics (@OleMissSports) September 27, 2023
LSU’s offense is legit, and that is a big reason why the total sits at 67. However, the Tigers’ defense and special teams have been a disappointment compared to the preseason hype. Defensively, LSU is allowing 5.8 yards per play, which ranks them 89th in the nation. Against the run, the Tigers are giving up 4 yards a carry (70th) and surrendering 8.2 yards per pass (92nd). Ole Miss defensively is giving up 4.7 yards per play (31st).
Ole Miss will be able to put up points on LSU. Arkansas’ stud RB Rocket Sanders was out last week, and QB KJ Jefferson still went 21/31 for 289 yards (9.3), 48 on the ground, and 3 passing touchdowns. Ole Miss has a very balanced offense. QB Jaxson Dart can use his legs like Jefferson did last week.
In Week 3, Dart ran for 136 yards and threw for 251. But Dart shouldn’t have to leave the pocket much because LSU hasn’t pressured the QB well so far this year. Also, star RB Quinshon Judkins should be the healthiest he’s been all year for the Rebels.
The matchup of Ole Miss’ offense vs. LSU’s defense is one that I favor slightly more than the Tigers’ offense vs. the Rebels’ defense. Lastly, add in that this is LSU’s first of a back-to-back road stretch. Oxford should be lit, and this will be a prime spot for a college football upset on Saturday.
Dog #2: Kansas Moneyline +600
Kansas at (-16.5) Texas (O/U 61)
Caution! The Red River Rivalry is on deck for the No. 3 Texas Longhorns. Plus, Kansas owns two upset victories over Texas in their last six meetings. Add in that two more of those games were decided by only one score. The Jayhawks have been a thorn in the Longhorns’ side in recent history. Kansas Head Coach Lance Leipold defeated Texas in Austin back in 2021 for his first career Big 12 victory. Why can’t Kansas send the Longhorns out of the Big 12 by winning the final game of the foreseen future between the two institutions.
The last time Kansas headed to Austin, we saw one of the crazier upsets in recent memory!
A Jalon Daniels to Jared Casey 2 pt conversion helped the Jayhawks snap a 56-game Big 12 road losing streak!
Can Kansas do it again this weekend? #RockChalk pic.twitter.com/9aOFqZ49El
— Field Court & Diamond (@FieldCourtDmd) September 27, 2023
Leipold and Offensive Coordinator Andy Kotelnicki scheme some of the best game plans in the country for the quality of personnel they have. Texas’ defensive line will have the advantage over the Kansas O-line. The Jayhawks have averaged 5.2 yards a carry (19th) and 209 rushing yards per game (16th).
However, this is more of a Jalon Daniels game, and at times, he can be a wizard. With that D-Line vs. O-Line advantage, Texas will get pressure on Daniels, but he is very good under pressure with the ability to make a play with his legs and talented arm.
The key to a Kansas victory here will be limiting Texas’ explosive plays, in particular, on the ground. The Jayhawks won in 2021. However, when they lost in ’22, it was because they were gashed for 427 rushing yards.
This year, Kansas beefed up their D-Line with power conference transfers, and Bijan Robinson is in the NFL. So far this season, KU has surrendered just 99.3 yards on the ground per game. We’ll need a few stops from the Kansas defense if we look to cash a moneyline bet in this shootout.
Dundee’s Dog: South Alabama Moneyline +130
South Alabama at (-6.5) James Madison (O/U 64)
Each week, I will write up Pick Dundee, aka Colby Dant’s favorite college football upset prediction. Dundee also loves a good college football parlay and is well known for his success betting moneyline dogs. Dant’s favorite play of the week is South Alabama defeating James Madison in Harrisonburg, Virginia.
PattyC, Dant’s childhood best friend and cohost on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network’s CFB podcast, “The College Football Experience,” played football at James Madison back in the day. So you know that Colby is either really confident in this pick or looking forward to playing the heel.
This is a buy-low spot on the Jaguars after losing a home game to Central Michigan. In Week 3, South Alabama knocked off Oklahoma State in Stillwater 33-7, and it wasn’t a fluke. South Bama returns 18 starters from a year ago and should be hungry to start conference play off 1-0.
Pick Dundee (@TheColbyD) has given out FIVE double digit money line dogs in back to back weeks!🗣#GamblingTwitter #BettingPicks #CollegeFootball #CFBPicks #CollegeFootballPicks pic.twitter.com/ixKqZJ76ca
— The College Experience (@TCEonSGPN) September 21, 2022
The College Football Experience
For more analysis and entertainment on these games, make sure you turn into The College Football Experience. Colby Dant, PattyC, and NC Nick talk about each FBS game and mix in some FCS games, giving out moneyline and ATS college football picks every Wednesday!
