The Monaco Grand Prix, widely considered the crown jewel of the Formula 1 season, descends upon the principality this weekend. Two drivers – Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez, the last two winners of this race – are locked in a tight battle for the driver’s championship, with Red Bull Racing well ahead in the constructor’s championship.
Verstappen (+100) is the favorite to win this weekend’s grand prix, with Perez (+350) the second choice. Rounding out the choices shorter than 10/1 are Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc (+450) and Aston Martin’s Fernando Alonso (+750). But which markets offer bettors the best chance of cashing a ticket this weekend? Let’s dive into two best bets for the race – the odds are reflective at the time of writing.
Monaco Grand Prix: Odds, Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets
Best Bet No. 1 – Alpine Double Points Finish (+130), BetRivers
Alpine has hit this prop bet only twice in the first five races but arrives in Monaco with a substantial upside.
Although both failed to finish the race in Australia, the circuit with the strongest correlations to Monaco, their speed showed in qualifying. Pierre Gasly qualified inside the points (P9), while teammate Esteban Ocon qualified two spots behind in P11. Both also own positive histories in Monaco. Before his P12 finish last year, Ocon finished P10 or better in two straight races.
As for Gasly, he finished P11 at this circuit with AlphaTauri last year but finished in the points three straight years prior. But, again, expand the sample to consider all races at correlative circuits – Imola, Monza, Australia, Hungary, and Monaco – and the results improve.
Gasly, in races where he’s finished, secured a points-finish in five of his last eight. As for Ocon, he’s achieved that feat in six of his last nine grand prix. Factor in those results with the pair’s track familiarity, and bettors should expect a second straight double points finish for the French side.
Best Bet No. 2 – Charles Leclerc (-105) over Sergio Perez, BetMGM
We’ve arrived at the perfect sell-high spot on Red Bull Racing. The defending constructor’s champions have thoroughly dominated the first five races, with Perez himself securing four top-two finishes.
However, Red Bull’s advantages come on tracks with long straights, as their car brings top-tier straight-line speed. Monaco nor Australia possess a lengthy straight. So, it should come as no surprise Perez’s worst finish (P5) came in the latter grand prix, albeit after crashing out of qualifying.
Leclerc’s long-stated desire to win this race has hit speed bumps recently. Despite qualifying on pole two straight years, he failed to start the race in 2021 and saw team failures drop him to P4 last year.
Two straight DNFs in 2018 and 2019 won’t inspire much confidence, either, but Ferrari’s strength through the corners should leave them in strong positions for Sunday.
Therefore, these two should be priced closer together than their current odds. So take Leclerc to cross the finish line first at -115 or better.
