Derek Carr was on a lot of sleeper lists this summer, and he did not deliver. There were a lot of changes to this offense, and they did not result in fantasy production for Derek Carr. Carr was missing Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller for most of the season, but he did have Davante Adams all year.
Carr’s completion percentage went from 68%, 67%, and 70% in the last three seasons to just 60.8%. Although his touchdown percentage went up, his interceptions also went up.
Carr threw 14 interceptions in just 15 games while averaging only 7.0 yards per attempt. This was his second-lowest Quarterback rating, only behind his rookie year.
Did Derek Carr regress, or did he just not fit the Josh McDaniel system? That will be the debate all offseason, and where you stand will help answer the next question. Is Carr a buy-low this offseason, or can you not wait to sell him? If you have Carr, you obviously have to wait until you know where he is playing in order to get the most value.
If you are buying low, however, you are hoping for a good landing spot. Here are some of the future landing spots for Derek Carr in order of their impact on his dynasty stock.
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Derek Carr Next Team: Updated Odds, Top Landing Spots, and Fantasy Impact
Carolina Panthers
Updated Odds: +140
January Rate +1200
The Carolina Panthers are looking for a Quarterback again. This has been a rinse-and-repeat headline for the last few seasons. They are desperate to stop this trend, and they could end up making a big splash in the draft. The Panthers are another team that will want to trade up to the top pick.
Unfortunately for them, they may have played too well and put themselves too far back to do it. The Bears would have to be willing to trade back to the 9th spot, and the Panthers will have to pay a hefty price for that big of a move. The Panthers could also go with another rookie, such as Will Levis, Anthony Richardson, or Hendon Hooker.
Another option would be to surprise us and stick it out with Sam Darnold. Darnold played really well under Steve Wilks and after Matt Rhule was removed. The Panthers since have added Frank Reich as the new Head Coach. They have added Duece Staley as the assistant head coach as well as Josh McCown as the QB coach.
This appears to be a good but not great landing spot for Derek Carr for fantasy. This roster is not great, and they do not have a ton of weapons. They do have a lot of draft picks and draft capital. They need to address the offensive line and add more weapons for this to be a great fantasy landing spot.
New Orleans Saints
Updated Odds: +150
January Rate: +1100
The Saints are another great option and seem to be the most interesting. Carr visited there for two days with his wife, and an offer was sent for his services. Reports state that it was a 3rd round pick, and Carr would have had to take on a reduced salary.
Carr and his team decided to keep their options open, and Carr was released. Carr would get to play in the dome, and all of those reasons above apply here. The Saints have a good offensive line, and they have some really good-skill players.
Even if Michael Thomas leaves, they have Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Alvin Kamara, and Juwan Johnson already. Playing against Atlanta and Carolina four times a year will definitely help as well.
New York Jets
Updated Odds: +300
January Rate: +400
The New York Jets looked good this year with every Quarterback not named Zach Wilson. They did mutually part with offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur, regardless they have one of the up-and-coming rosters.
The positives for the Jets are that they have a core of young talent already on the roster on both sides of the ball. They almost made the playoffs, and a lot of people think they are a Quarterback away from being there. Mike White is an unrestricted free agent in 2023. As of today, it would be Zach Wilson and Joe Flacco in the Jets QB room.
Reports are that the Jets are all in on Aaron Rodgers. They hired Nathaniel Hacket, and Rodgers has the top odds to be their next quarterback. He also is the highest odds to be the Raiders’ next quarterback.
If not Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo has been named as another potential candidate. Carr would have Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, and Elijah Moore, amongst other playmakers, on the offense.
They have a much improved offensive line and a strong defense. This is one of the most improved teams, and they are pointing in the right direction.
The negatives here are the division and the conference. Carr would join a tough division with Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa, and Bill Belichick. Carr would also be playing in the northeast and outdoors for the majority of the season.
I think for football, this is a great landing spot, but I don’t know if this is the best dynasty landing spot for him. It is good, just not great.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Updated Odds: +900
January Rate: +1000
Tom Brady has officially retired, and someone is going to end up trying to fill his shoes. The Buccaneers would be one of the best landing spots for any of these quarterbacks. Every single team in the NFC South is a great option, in my opinion.
Good weather, bad defenses, and a lot of great weapons. The Buccaneers are at the top of the list with Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Rachaad White. They also have an offense that throws the ball at an extremely high rate.
This is one of the top fantasy football landing spots for Carr. However, Carr going to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would be a huge win for his dynasty managers.
The Buccaneers are doing their due diligence on offensive coordinators; they have now interviewed ten candidates. This could impact Carr’s interest in the position. The team’s interest in Carr could also impact their coaching search.
New England Patriots
Updated Odds: +1400
January Rate: +900
The New England Patriots’ offense was not good this year. The experiment of Matt Patricia calling plays was a disaster, and the rotating Quarterbacks did not help.
Mac Jones regressed this season, and Bill Belichick is not happy about missing the playoffs. He lorded over this division for decades and has now fallen toward the bottom.
The only way up is to figure out the offense, and that starts with the Quarterback. If they don’t feel like Mac Jones can do that, they could try to get a veteran option.
Bill O’Brien was brought in as the head coach. I think this was a good hire, but I don’t think this moves Carr into QB1 consideration. I still do not see this as a great dynasty landing spot for Carr, with question marks all over the place on this offense.
Washington Commanders
Updated Odds: +1600
January Rate: +900
The Washington Commanders just relieved Scott Turner of his duties. It will be interesting to see who they bring in to call plays, but it does sound like Ron Rivera is there to stay.
They have not committed to Carson Wentz or Taylor Heinicke, but it is suspected they move on from both. The Commanders are looking at potentially bringing in Eric Bienemy, which could heavily impact their QB search. Bienemy would be very familiar with Carr.
This is another team that likely goes for Jimmy Garopollo if they can’t get Carr. This isn’t a terrible landing spot for Carr, as they have one of the better Wide Receiver rooms in the league.
They also have a good running game and a good defense. They are also in the NFC, and this is the first NFC option. I think this could be one of the better landing spots for fantasy based on the situation.
Carr moving to the NFC would be interesting with how stacked the Quarterbacks in the AFC are. My biggest concern for Carr is the change in ownership.
As much as getting Daniel Snyder out of there is a positive for everyone. If ownership is not there to sign off on Carr’s deal, this could put him in limbo in 2024.
Green Bay Packers
Updated Odds: +1800
January Rate: +3000
The odds on this one could move a lot if we get some news about Aaron Rodgers. He currently has the top odds for each of the Raiders and Jets’ next quarterbacks.
Unfortunately for Packers fans, it will probably be another drawn-out off-season for them. If Carr went to Green Bay, I think it would be good for him for fantasy.
I would not say great, but this would be a solid option for him. Christian Watson looks like the real deal, and the division is one of the most fantasy friendly in the league.
If Rodgers moves or we hear about Rodgers wanting to play for another team, this could move the line. Carr would be a realistic replacement, as he said he wants to go to a winning team and a stable organization.
Tennesee Titans
Updated Odds: +2000
January Rate: +600
The Tennesee Titans have cleaned house already this offseason. They have let go of four coaches, and they fired their GM earlier this offseason.
A new general manager could come in here and want to move on from Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill makes this situation a little more difficult, though.
Not only does it not make sense to have both Tannehill and Carr on the roster, but they would also have trouble affording it. They almost would have to trade Tannehill in the deal or before the deal with another team. If Derek Carr went to the Titans, I don’t think it would be a good landing spot for fantasy football, either.
This team is built around Derek Henry, and the passing volume itself would hurt him in fantasy football. They also do not have one of the better pass-catching rooms in the league. The offensive line is deteriorating, and not a situation Carr will want to go to.
Atlanta Falcons
Updated Odds: +2000
January Rate: +2000
At 20/1, I mean, I may have to sprinkle some money on this one. I actually really like this landing spot. I would love this landing spot if Arthur Smith were out of town. Nonetheless, this is a team that has some special players and a lot of resources to make moves this offseason.
They have the 3rd most projected cap, and they have five picks inside the top 113 in this year’s draft (8,45,76,110,113). Derek Carr would walk into an offense with Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and Tyler Allgeier as well.
The team needs to address the offensive line, though, and find some complimentary pieces on offense. In all, this is one of my favorite landing spots.
Indianapolis Colts
Updated Odds: +2000
January Rate: +400
The Indianapolis Colts GM, Chris Ballard, has already spoken about doing whatever it takes to get a Quarterback in the draft. If they don’t think this is a real possibility, they could turn to Carr. The Colts have been a mess since the sudden retirement of Andrew Luck.
The Colts have tried to band-aid things together with older veterans like Philip Rivers and Matt Ryan. They attempted to rehabilitate Carson Wentz as well, who was younger but had obviously regressed since his knee injury.
The Colts do not have a 2nd round pick in 2023 and may have trouble trading up for one of the top two Quarterbacks.
They announced the hiring of Shane Steichen from the Eagles. They are sitting at the 4th spot and, I think, are more likely to draft a Quarterback, in my opinion. If they did go with Derek Carr, though, I think this is a good landing spot for him.
He gets to play in the AFC South, and the Colts have some solid offensive pieces. The offensive line is not as good as it once was, but they still have Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman Jr.
Houston Texans
Updated Odds: +5000
January Rate: +1800
I would say there is a zero percent chance that he goes here. First, they are likely drafting Bryce Young or C.J. Stroud. Second, this franchise has a history with the Carr family. This is not great history, and no way that Carr wants to be a part of this organization.
Reminder, he has a no-trade clause and will have a say in where he lands. This would be a bad landing spot for him in fantasy as it stands right now. This is one of the worst rosters in football, and the skill position groups are terrible. Their best pass-catcher wants out of town, and they would use draft capital on bringing in Carr versus getting him weapons.
My Top 5 Landing Spots for Derek Carr in Dynasty
1. Atlanta Falcons
2. New Orleans Saints
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4. New York Jets
5. Carolina Panthers
My Prediction: New Orleans Saints
We hope you enjoyed reading about these potential landing spots for Derek Carr. Be sure to check back with SGPN daily for more fantasy football content.
