If you’re digging through the lines for this weekend’s UFC 284 card and coming up empty on moneylines – fret not. There’s more than one way to take someone down. So we’ve got you covered with all the props and totals that can make this card profitable anyways.
UFC 284 – Props and Totals
Parker Porter vs Justin Tafa – Over 2.5 Rounds (+125)
It may be wildly counterintuitive to put a heavyweight fight and take the over, but these two guys are not your typical heavyweights. With the exception of fights with top talents Jailton Almeida and Chris Daukaus, Parker Porter has been the distance for every fight in the UFC. Justin Tafa, despite what the hype might say about his kickboxing, has only finished one fight in the last three years. With Porter likely to respect the power and possibly try to wrestle a bit, expect that this fight drags on late.
Jack Della Maddelena wins by (T)KO (-110)
A lot of people are high on Jack Della Maddelena (with me being one of them), but don’t really like the moneyline price on him against Randy Brown. That’s fair being that Brown is undoubtedly his stiffest competition yet. It is worth noting that Brown can be tagged and dropped. We saw him recently in a bout with Khaos Williams get floored and nearly lose the fight as a result. Pair that with JDM’s nine (T)KOs in his last ten fights, and it seems like a gift to get close to even money on it at UFC 284.
Jimmy Crute wins by Submission (+255)
Alonzo Menifield has never been submitted in his life. That was also true of Paul Craig when Jimmy Crute tapped him out. I think the books might be sleeping on just what a grappling advantage Crute has in this fight. He took down Anthony Smith (largely with just one leg). Both William Knight and Devin Clark got their wrestling going against Menifield, so there’s reason to believe that Crute would have an in there.
Jamie Mullarkey wins Inside the Distance (+140)
The books are left a little in the dark about Jamie Mullarkey’s opponent. He’s not one of your typical late replacement fighters. We haven’t seen him on the Contender Series or TUF. He hasn’t fought in LFA or Cage Warriors. We just know Francisco Prado has been knocking people out on the regional scene in Argentina. However, if you get your eyes on any of those fights, you’ll see a guy who throws wildly from bell to bell, which is bad news for him here. Mullarkey should be far too skilled for him and way too likely to wear him out. Expect him to do so and then get the finish late.
Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan – Fight goes to Decision (-145)
These two fighters are ones who like to keep the fight on the feet, but also show lots of respect for the power of their opponents. This combination, especially when you have two fighters like that, can lead to a lot of feeling out. In every fight Josh Culibao has had at featherweight in the UFC, it’s seen the judges’ scorecards. Melsik Baghdasaryan has seen them himself in two of his last three. I think we see both a bit too hesitant and allow the Australian commission to decide a winner.
If you’d like even more information on UFC 284, be sure to check out the MMA Gambling Podcast. The guys are dropping episodes every week to make you the smartest guy at the bar.
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