The Boston Red Sox (70-75) and Kansas City Royals (58-87) square off on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Fenway Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Royals are road underdogs (+167) against the Red Sox (-201). The Boston Red Sox will hand the ball to Nick Pivetta (9-11, 4.31 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Kris Bubic (2-12, 5.55 ERA). The total for this game is 9.5.
Red Sox vs. Royals Predictions
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Red Sox vs. Royals Last 10 Games Betting Performance
Red Sox
- In the last 10 games, Boston was listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times, and it split those games.
- In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
- Boston’s ATS record is 6-4-0 over its past 10 games.
Royals
- Kansas City has played as the underdog in seven of its past 10 games and has gone 2-5 in those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
- Kansas City has a record of 5-5-0 ATS over its last 10 games.
Red Sox vs. Royals Starting Pitcher Betting Trends
Projected starter: Nick Pivetta
- The Red Sox have gone 16-13-0 against the spread when Pivetta starts.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline favorite in 14 of Pivetta’s starts this season, and they went 8-6 in those matchups.
- Pivetta’s team is 13-16 in his 29 starts.
- Pivetta has had 29 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined go over the total in 17 of those games.
Projected starter: Kris Bubic
- Bubic and his team have a record of 8-16-0 against the spread when he starts.
- When he starts a game and his team is the underdog on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-15.
- Bubic’s team has a 7-17 record in his starts this season.
- In Bubic’s 24 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Red Sox Batting Leaders
- Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (26) and runs batted in (79).
- Among all hitters in MLB, Devers’ home run total ranks 28th and his RBI tally ranks 29th.
- Devers has safely hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
- Xander Bogaerts’ .315 batting average is a team-high mark.
- Among all MLB hitters, Bogaerts ranks 110th in home runs and 53rd in RBI.
- Alex Verdugo has 35 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 39 walks while hitting .281.
- Tommy Pham is hitting .242 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 51 walks.
Royals Batting Leaders
- Bobby Witt Jr. leads Kansas City in batting average (.249) and runs batted in (74) this season while also slugging 20 homers.
- Witt Jr.’s home run total ranks 55th in the big leagues, and he is 38th in RBI.
- Witt Jr. has safely hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two doubles and three RBI.
- MJ Melendez has 88 hits and an OBP of .317 to go with a slugging percentage of .393 this season.
- Melendez currently is 98th in home runs and 104th in RBI in the big leagues.
- Melendez brings a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a triple, three walks and two RBI.
- Salvador Perez’s 21 home runs lead all Kansas City hitters, and he’s slugging .456.
- Perez enters this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a home run and three RBI.
- Nicky Lopez has collected 98 hits this season and has an OBP of .290. He’s slugging .284 on the year.
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