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Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks – NBA Playoffs Game 3 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Miami Heat are 2-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena on Friday, starting at 7:00 PM ET. The Heat hold a 2-0 lead in the series. The over/under for the matchup is 220.

Heat vs. Hawks Predictions

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Odds

Heat vs Hawks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Heat -2 220 points

Heat vs. Hawks Last 10 Games

  • Miami covered the spread eight times in its past 10 contests while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • Miami’s last 10 contests saw five go over the total.
  • The last 10 Heat games averaged 220.9 total points, 0.9 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • During their past 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 6.3 points above their season-long scoring average.
  • Atlanta has a 6-4 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
  • Atlanta’s last 10 contests saw four go over the total.
  • The Hawks’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 231.4 points scored. That’s 11.4 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Across their last 10 games, the Hawks have scored 4.3 more points per contest compared to their 113.9 PPG season-long scoring average.

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

  • Miami has covered the spread 49 times over 85 games with a set spread.
  • The Heat are 30-27-1 ATS when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
  • Miami games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 85 chances this season.
  • The Heat are shooting 46.7% from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points lower than the 47.1% the Hawks allow to opponents.
  • Miami has a 33-9 record against the spread and a 36-5 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.1% from the field.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread 37 times this season (37-47-0).
  • The Hawks have an ATS record of 7-19 when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
  • Games involving Atlanta have hit the over 43 times out of 84 chances this season.
  • The Hawks have shot at a 47.0% rate from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points higher than the 44.7% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
  • This season, Atlanta has a 33-23 record against the spread and a 36-20 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 44.7% from the field.


Heat vs. Hawks Over/Under Trends

  • This season, Miami and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday’s total of 220 points 37 times.
  • In Atlanta’s 84 games this season, 56 have finished with more combined scoring than Friday’s over/under of 220.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 223.9 points per game, 3.9 points more than the total of 220 for this matchup.
  • These two teams give up a combined 218 points per game, 2.0 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Heat have seen a 214.6 average over/under in their games this season, 5.4 points fewer than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 4.7 points fewer than the average over/under in Hawks’ games this season (224.7 points).

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.4 PTS, 5.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 48.0 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (27-for-116)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.1 REB, 1.4 STL, 55.7 FG%
  • Tyler Herro: 20.7 PTS, 44.7 FG%, 39.9 3PT% (175-for-439)
  • Kyle Lowry: 13.4 PTS, 7.5 AST, 1.1 STL, 44.0 FG%, 37.7 3PT% (144-for-382)
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.9 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (232-for-624)

Hawks Team Leaders

  • Trae Young: 28.4 PTS, 9.7 AST, 46.0 FG%, 38.2 3PT% (233-for-610)
  • Clint Capela: 11.1 PTS, 11.9 REB, 1.3 BLK, 61.3 FG%
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic: 15.1 PTS, 1.1 STL, 43.1 FG%, 36.8 3PT% (169-for-459)
  • Kevin Huerter: 12.1 PTS, 45.4 FG%, 38.9 3PT% (160-for-411)
  • Danilo Gallinari: 11.7 PTS, 43.4 FG%, 38.1 3PT% (112-for-294)

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