Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets - NBA Playoffs Game 3 - Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 2.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors have a 2-0 lead in the series. The matchup’s over/under is set at 224.5.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Predictions

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Warriors vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Total
Warriors	-2.5	224.5 points

Warriors vs. Nuggets Last 10 Games

Golden State is 7-3 overall and 7-3-0 against the spread over its last 10 contests.
Golden State’s last 10 outings saw five hit the over.
The last 10 Warriors games averaged 220.4 total points, 4.1 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
The Warriors’ per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 2.8 points higher than their season-long average.
Denver has a 5-5 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread three times in those games.
Denver’s last 10 games saw six hit the over.
The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 6.9 more points (231.4) than this matchup’s point total.
Over the past 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 118.3 points per game compared to their 112.7 season average.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

Golden State is 43-38-3 against the spread this season.
In games they were favored in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Warriors have gone 30-27-2 against the spread.
Games involving Golden State have hit the over 37 times out of 84 chances this season.
The Warriors make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (47.0%).
In games Golden State shoots higher than 47.0% from the field, it is 32-9-2 against the spread and 38-5 overall.
Denver has covered the spread 36 times this year (36-47-1).
In games they were an underdog in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Nuggets went 11-11-1 against the spread.
Denver games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 84 chances this season.
The Nuggets have shot at a 48.3% rate from the field this season, 4.5 percentage points greater than the 43.8% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
This season, Denver has a 33-29 record against the spread and a 41-21 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 43.8% from the field.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Over/Under Trends

Golden State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Thursday’s total of 224.5 points 29 times this season.
In Denver’s 84 games this season, 41 have finished with more combined scoring than Thursday’s point total of 224.5.
Together, the two teams combine for 223.7 points per game, 0.8 points fewer than the over/under of 224.5 for this game.
These two teams surrender a combined 215.9 points per game, 8.6 points less than this contest’s over/under.
On average, the over/under in Warriors games is 4.2 points fewer than the over/under of 224.5 points in this contest.
A difference of 3.4 points separates this game’s over/under (224.5 points) and the average total points bet in Nuggets’ games (221.1 points) this season.

Warriors Team Leaders

Stephen Curry: 25.5 PTS, 6.3 AST, 1.3 STL, 43.7 FG%, 38.0 3PT% (285-for-750)
Jordan Poole: 18.5 PTS, 44.8 FG%, 36.4 3PT% (211-for-580)
Andrew Wiggins: 17.2 PTS, 1.1 STL, 46.6 FG%, 39.3 3PT% (157-for-399)
Kevon Looney: 6.0 PTS, 7.3 REB, 57.1 FG%
Draymond Green: 7.5 PTS, 7.3 REB, 7.0 AST, 1.3 STL, 1.1 BLK, 52.5 FG%, 29.6 3PT% (16-for-54)

Nuggets Team Leaders

Nikola Jokic: 27.1 PTS, 13.8 REB, 7.9 AST, 1.5 STL, 58.3 FG%, 33.7 3PT% (97-for-288)
Aaron Gordon: 15.0 PTS, 52.0 FG%, 33.5 3PT% (87-for-260)
Will Barton: 14.7 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 36.5 3PT% (157-for-430)
Monte Morris: 12.6 PTS, 48.4 FG%, 39.5 3PT% (124-for-314)
Nah’Shon Hyland: 10.1 PTS, 40.3 FG%, 36.6 3PT% (131-for-358)