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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets – NBA Playoffs Game 3 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 2.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors have a 2-0 lead in the series. The matchup’s over/under is set at 224.5.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Predictions

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Warriors vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Warriors -2.5 224.5 points

Warriors vs. Nuggets Last 10 Games

  • Golden State is 7-3 overall and 7-3-0 against the spread over its last 10 contests.
  • Golden State’s last 10 outings saw five hit the over.
  • The last 10 Warriors games averaged 220.4 total points, 4.1 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Warriors’ per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 2.8 points higher than their season-long average.
  • Denver has a 5-5 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread three times in those games.
  • Denver’s last 10 games saw six hit the over.
  • The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 6.9 more points (231.4) than this matchup’s point total.
  • Over the past 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 118.3 points per game compared to their 112.7 season average.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Golden State is 43-38-3 against the spread this season.
  • In games they were favored in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Warriors have gone 30-27-2 against the spread.
  • Games involving Golden State have hit the over 37 times out of 84 chances this season.
  • The Warriors make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (47.0%).
  • In games Golden State shoots higher than 47.0% from the field, it is 32-9-2 against the spread and 38-5 overall.
  • Denver has covered the spread 36 times this year (36-47-1).
  • In games they were an underdog in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Nuggets went 11-11-1 against the spread.
  • Denver games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 48 times out of 84 chances this season.
  • The Nuggets have shot at a 48.3% rate from the field this season, 4.5 percentage points greater than the 43.8% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
  • This season, Denver has a 33-29 record against the spread and a 41-21 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 43.8% from the field.


Warriors vs. Nuggets Over/Under Trends

  • Golden State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Thursday’s total of 224.5 points 29 times this season.
  • In Denver’s 84 games this season, 41 have finished with more combined scoring than Thursday’s point total of 224.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 223.7 points per game, 0.8 points fewer than the over/under of 224.5 for this game.
  • These two teams surrender a combined 215.9 points per game, 8.6 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the over/under in Warriors games is 4.2 points fewer than the over/under of 224.5 points in this contest.
  • A difference of 3.4 points separates this game’s over/under (224.5 points) and the average total points bet in Nuggets’ games (221.1 points) this season.

Warriors Team Leaders

  • Stephen Curry: 25.5 PTS, 6.3 AST, 1.3 STL, 43.7 FG%, 38.0 3PT% (285-for-750)
  • Jordan Poole: 18.5 PTS, 44.8 FG%, 36.4 3PT% (211-for-580)
  • Andrew Wiggins: 17.2 PTS, 1.1 STL, 46.6 FG%, 39.3 3PT% (157-for-399)
  • Kevon Looney: 6.0 PTS, 7.3 REB, 57.1 FG%
  • Draymond Green: 7.5 PTS, 7.3 REB, 7.0 AST, 1.3 STL, 1.1 BLK, 52.5 FG%, 29.6 3PT% (16-for-54)

Nuggets Team Leaders

  • Nikola Jokic: 27.1 PTS, 13.8 REB, 7.9 AST, 1.5 STL, 58.3 FG%, 33.7 3PT% (97-for-288)
  • Aaron Gordon: 15.0 PTS, 52.0 FG%, 33.5 3PT% (87-for-260)
  • Will Barton: 14.7 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 36.5 3PT% (157-for-430)
  • Monte Morris: 12.6 PTS, 48.4 FG%, 39.5 3PT% (124-for-314)
  • Nah’Shon Hyland: 10.1 PTS, 40.3 FG%, 36.6 3PT% (131-for-358)

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