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NFL Thanksgiving Day Betting Odds, Picks, & Predictions

NFL Thanksgiving Day Betting Odds, Picks, & Predictions

NFL Thanksgiving football is here with three games to help distract us from the family political discussions at the dinner table. While you might be stuffing your faces with food, six teams will face off in hopes to improve their seasons. Ironically, all six teams lost last week and will look to bounce back. However, as we all know, only three of them will emerge with a victory.


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Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions Game Information

Location: Detroit, MI – Ford Field

Time: 12:30 p.m. Eastern Time (9:30 a.m. Pacific Time)


Weather: Dome 44 F, Possible Light Rain, WIND: 9 MPH Southwest 

Money Line:  Lions (+140) | Bears (-160)

Spread:  Bears (-3)

Total:  41.5

Odds via WynnBet

It seems like there are a bunch of storylines surrounding this game. Will the Lions get their first win of the season? Are Jared Goff or Justin Fields going to play on a short turnaround? Is this going to be Nagy’s last game as the Bears head coach? The Bears and Lions have faced off on three of the last seven Thanksgiving games with the Bears winning 2 of those 3.

NFL Thanksgiving Day Pick: Bears (-3), Under 41.5

The first NFL Thanksgiving game includes two teams who have a combined three wins, all belonging to the Bears. However, both teams have gotten close to victories in their past two games. The Bears lost to the Steelers by 2 before entering their bye week and then lost to the Ravens by 3 last week. The Lions tied the Steelers to avoid being the first team to ever go 0-17 two weeks ago and lost to the Browns by 3 last week.

The Lions have given up 140 rushing yards a game, including 188 yards the past 3 games. David Montgomery is back and healthy for the Bears and has averaged 4.49 yards per carry since his return. While both teams want to win and look good on Thanksgiving, I think both teams will look to rely on their running game to move the ball. The Bears won Week 4 in the first meeting of these teams 24-14. However, that was De’Andre Swift’s worse game and I look for him to have a better game on Thanksgiving. I think the Bears still come out on top and cover in a low-scoring affair.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys Game Information

Location: Arlington, Texas – AT&T Stadium

Time: 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time (12:30 a.m. Pacific Time)


Weather59 F, WIND: 17 MPH North

Money Line:  Raiders (+270) | Cowboys (-340)

Spread:  Cowboys (-7.5)

Total:  51.5

Odds via WynnBet

As the tryptophan sets in after your Thanksgiving meal, the Cowboys and the Raiders face each other for the 12th time in the 2nd NFL Thanksgiving game. Each team has won 6 games, Dallas winning the last in 2017 by a margin of 20-17. Both teams are coming off a loss in games where their offense looked lost.

NFL Thanksgiving Day Pick: Raiders (+7.5), Over 51.5

The Raiders are trying to stay relevant in the playoff race and the Cowboys are trying to maintain their division lead, with the Eagles quickly approaching. While last week was the Raiders’ 2nd lowest scoring game, the Cowboys had their lowest-scoring game of the season against the Chiefs. I think both of these offenses will look to turn it around and get back to their normal scoring averages. The Raiders average 22.3 points a game while the Cowboys score an average of 28.50.

Even with the Cowboys potentially missing their top two wide receivers and the Raiders still looking for a post-Ruggs playmaker, these teams are each led by a top 10 passer. Derek Carr is 3rd in the league in passing yards and Prescott is 9th.  Neither team has been stellar against the pass, both giving up 285 yards a game. Therefore I feel this could easily become a shootout and remain closer than a touchdown. While Mike McCarthy looks to get his first NFL Thanksgiving win as head coach of the Cowboys, look for them to squeak by the Raiders who are 2-3 since Rich Bisaccia took over as head coach. In a high-scoring affair of two teams who have to continue winning, the Cowboys win but don’t cover as the game exceeds the total.

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Buffalo Bills @ New Orleans Saints Game Information

Location: New Orleans, LA – Caesars Superdome

Time: 8:20 p.m. Eastern Time (6:20 a.m. Pacific Time)


Weather70 F, WIND 4 MPH Southwest

Money Line:  Saints (+210) | Bills (-260)

Spread:  Bills (-6)

Total:  45.5

Odds via WynnBet

Your nap is over, you’ve had seconds, and the last NFL Thanksgiving game has arrived. The Buffalo Bills and the New Orleans Saints face off for the night game. Josh Allen hasn’t looked very Josh Allen lately, throwing 5 interceptions in the last 3 games after only throwing 2 in his first 6 of the season. Meanwhile, Trevor Siemian has been playing well in relief of Jameis Winston but hasn’t been able to pile up any wins in the last 3 games.

NFL Thanksgiving Day Pick: Bills (-6), Over 45.5

The Saints have done great in the second half of games the past 3 weeks. In fact, the Saints have scored 67 points in the 2nd half, compared to 13 in the 1st half in the last 3 games. Meanwhile, the Bills dropped a disappointing loss to the Jaguars 3 weeks ago. They went on to beat the Jets 45-17 before being embarrassed 41-15 by the Colts. With the Saints’ slow starts and the Bills undoubtedly angry from the loss, look for the Bills to roll.

The Bills have outscored their opponents by twenty points when coming off of a loss. I expect them to start quickly, leaving the Saints behind and to never let off the gas. Once the AFC favorites, two losses in their last 3 games will motivate them to move the ball efficiently and the Saints won’t be able to stage enough of a 2nd half comeback.

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Born and raised in Iowa, Justin Mark is an avid Chicago Bears fan. He is a self-published author and loves writing almost as much as he loves sports. He lives in the small town of Winterset, IA with his wife and their dog and cat. He is enjoys being part of the #degen nation that is of The Sports Gambling Podcast Network.


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