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2020 RSM Classic Picks and Props

2020 RSM Classic Picks and Props

What are the best RSM Classic picks? Please check out the 2020 RSM Classic Preview and Betting Strategies for the types of golfers you should look to target for your picks. With that in mind, here are my favorite 2020 RSM Classic picks for this week (with odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag).

RSM Classic Picks:
Outright Winners

Tyrrell Hatton – 18/1

Hatton had a nightmare first two rounds at the Masters. He didn’t look like anything near the quality of player he had demonstrated himself to be at Augusta National. Hatton was dreadful with his irons and his putting, which was a strength of his heading in. Fundamentally, however, Hatton checks all the boxes of a winner at the RSM Classic. He possesses a great combination of accuracy, precise iron play and can get hot with the putter. His price is suppressed too much because of the bad form at Augusta. He should bounce back and fight for the win.

Russell Henley – 28/1

Henley is currently on an unrelenting pace with his ball striking. Over his last four tournaments, Henley has gained 1.81 strokes per round tee-to-green on the field. That’s not only the highest clip of anyone in this field, but one of the best on the PGA Tour. With performances like these, a win is within his grasp. It could come this week on a track he has a decent history on.

Harris English – 30/1

One of the many players to consider themselves part of the Sea Island Mafia. English has played superb all year and a win to close out his season would put the cherry on top. English possesses a wonderful combination of accuracy, solid iron play and hot putting. All three factors are needed to win this tournament. English is in a great spot to snap a winless drought on the PGA Tour.

Brian Harman – 45/1

The results have not matched what Harman has done on the golf course lately. Over his last four starts, Harman has gained 0.45 strokes per round ball striking and 0.67 strokes per round on and around the greens. Despite the good form, he failed to crack the Top 10 on the leaderboard. Harman fares best on small ballpark golf courses that reward accuracy and hot putting. A strong showing should be in order.

Zach Johnson – 55/1

Like Harman, small ballpark golf courses that reward accuracy and great putting is right up Zach Johnson’s alley. Over his last four tournaments Johnson has gained 0.48 strokes per round ball striking and 0.86 strokes per round putting. Johnson has struck his irons beautifully all year and is long overdue for a victory.

In addition, there are several dart throw options to consider as well given the weak field overall. These also would be great Top 20 plays.

  • J.T. Poston – 90/1 – Disappointed at the Masters, but overall an accurate plater who chews up bermuda greens. Poston has struck his irons well lately too.
  • James Hahn – 100/1 – Has gained 0.86 strokes per round on the field over his last four tournaments. Possesses a good combination of decent accuracy, ball striking and putting.
  • Matthew NeSmith – 110/1 – Finished T14 at the RSM Classic last year and is one of the most accurate players off the tee. Also is striking his irons well coming into the tournament.
  • Henrik Norlander – 110/1 – Has one of the best course histories at the RSM Classic, gaining 0.94 strokes per round on the field over 18 rounds. A great putter and iron player.
  • Harry Higgs – 110/1 – Has gained 0.86 strokes per round on the field over his last four tournaments. Like Hahn, has a good balance of accuracy off the tee and ball striking.
  • Mark Hubbard – 175/1 – Not playing well entering the tournament. Hubbard naturally is an accurate player who good command over his irons.
  • Brian Stuard – 225/1 – Finished T10 last year at the RSM Classic. A very accurate player who can roll the rock well on the greens.

Positional Props

Webb Simpson Top 10 – +100

It’s hard to imagine a scenario where Webb Simpson isn’t in the mix on Sunday at the RSM Classic. In his career, Simpson has gained just under two strokes per round on the field. That’s the highest clip of anyone. He owns three Top 3 finishes at the RSM Classic and is coming off a very solid Masters where he demonstrated command over his irons once again. Another Top 10 at Sea Island is in order.

Matthew Fitzpatrick Top 10 – +335

Fitzpatrick was a disappointment at Augusta National last week, struggling with his ball striking and putting. Sea Island is a golf course setup that favors a player like Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is an accurate player who can run hot with the putter and his irons. This is his first time in this tournament, and it should be a successful one.

Corey Conners Top 20 – +200

Conners has the tools tee to green to succeed at Sea Island. Conners is one of the most accurate players off the tee in this field and is a wonderful iron player. His results always come down to how well he putts. Given the volatility in that area, a conservative bet at 2/1 for a Top 20 is the prudent play. However, his ball striking alone gives him the upside to place there even if the putter doesn’t show.

Other Top 20 Props To Consider:

  • Ian Poulter – +200
  • Joaquin Niemann – +200
  • Doc Redman – +300
  • Chez Reavie – +350
  • Matt Kuchar – +350
  • Kevin Streelman – +400
  • Sepp Straka – +400
  • Tyler Duncan – +550
  • Doug Ghim – +550
  • Tom Hoge – +600
  • Chesson Hadley – +750
  • Brice Garnett – +750
  • Pat Perez – +800
  • Kyle Stanley – +800
  • Chase Seiffert – +1400
  • Bo Hoag – +1400
  • Chris Baker – +1600

RSM Classic Picks:
Matchups

Zach Johnson +1.5 Strokes over Dylan Frittelli (-135)

Frittelli was marvelous at Augusta National, however a regression to the mean is in order. Frittelli played way over his head last week and struggles with his accuracy and ball striking overall. Zach Johnson is a better fit for Sea Island. He should easily keep it within 1.5 strokes of Frittelli over the course of the tournament.

Henrik Norlander +1.5 Strokes over Adam Hadwin (-130)

One would think a player like Adam Hadwin would fare well at Sea Island. Over his career, however, he’s struggled badly. Over his 11 rounds at Sea Island, Hadwin has lost 1.56 strokes per round on the competition. While an accurate player, Hadwin has struggled in 2020 with his irons and putting. Norlander should keep it within 1.5 strokes of Hadwin this weekend.

Matthew Fitzpatrick +1.5 Strokes over Tommy Fleetwood (-125)

Fleetwood had a fine showing at Augusta, but faked it a little around there. Fleetwood was about field average that week in driving accuracy and green in regulation %, but led the field in putting. Ball striking had been a big area of concern for the talented Englishman all year. Fleetwood is due for some regression, and Fitzpatrick should keep it within 1.5 strokes of him at the RSM Classic.

Golf and NASCAR analyst for SportsGamblingPodcast.com. Co-Host of the Golf Gambling Podcast on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network. Hit him up on the SGP Slack Channel at SportsGamblingPodcast.com/Slack

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