Week 15 Flowchart Results
In a very high scoring fantasy week, the GPP flowchart nailed some of the highest scorers in the DraftKings main slate! George Kittle was the #1 TE, Miles Sanders was the #2 RB, Ryan Tannehill was the #3 QB, and AJ Brown finished as the #5 WR. We missed out on a real homerun weekend, by loading up Justin Watson’s 2 catch day rather than Breshad Perriman’s 3 TD explosion.
The optimal lineup from the GPP flowchart finished with 183.96 pts, which was good enough to land in the top 7-10% of the Large GPPs. We’ll consider this a success, as it should have equaled a cash payout, but the goal is to get that optimal lineup up near the 2% mark since that probably means most of the lineup combinations are cashing.
The Cash flowchart was a bit more of a flop. Chris Carson ended the day as the #6 RB, but nobody else really exceeded expectations. The Kyler/Kirk/OBJ stack did perfectly average, which really limited the overall scoring. The optimal lineup from the Cash flowchart finished with 150.56 pts and did not cash in the Massive Double Ups. This was the first week trying out the Cash lineup, so don’t give up on it yet!
Week 16 Breakdown
We’ve got a fun weekend ahead of us, with three marquee matchups throughout the day on Saturday, and a full 11 game day in the DraftKings Sunday Main Slate. This 3 game Saturday slate is a perfect opportunity to get warmed up for some of the small slate playoff offerings that will be upon us in just 2 short weeks!
The Saturday Flowchart starts out with a game stack from what I expect to be the highest scoring game of the day. Stacking Watson & Hopkins is a good pivot off a chalky Jameis & Perriman stack. I like rolling with Houston here since they are healthier, and this game is much more important to them for playoff positioning. Completing the game stack is Justin Watson who is significantly cheaper than Perriman, and should still have a similar floor.
I think the RB/DEF stacks are both going to be popular choices as both these defenses have plenty of opportunity for points and I expect both teams to want to pound the ball on the ground. With the amount of lockdown cornerbacks that will be roaming the field, passing will be at a premium.
The next tier is by far the most important in a 3-game slate, and we absolutely need to hit big on 2 or 3 of these players. Both Johnson & Burkhead could see increased workloads depending on game script. Brandon Cooks has the ability to explode for a long touchdown on any drive, and OJ Howard is a bit of a dart throw play with hopes that he snags a TD. With the value plays in the third tier, we still have quite a bit of money left for any of the San Francisco studs, the Rams receivers, or the only guy on the Patriots roster that Brady trusts.
The Sunday flowchart is a fun one too! There is a little bit of risk plugging in Waller as a Tight End in the game stack, but I think he will be the main option for Carr as the Raiders fall behind in this game. Keenan Allen averages almost 7 catches for 75 yards in his career against Oakland. Both Pittsburgh and Cincinnati have great matchups against offenses that rank at or near the bottom of the league. Anytime we can matchup stud RBs with high floor defenses, we should be set up for success.
Danny Amendola & Mark Ingram really standout as value options if they go off at under 5% ownership as the are projected right now. Amendola had 11 targets last week and I don’t see that dropping off. We still have plenty of money left over to land some of the better stud options this week. McLaurin, Gallup, and Boyd all match up against bad secondaries; while Freeman, Ekeler, and Sanders should receive a large amount of targets & touches.
Good luck to everyone this weekend!