The last game of the NFL’s divisional playoff round is a rematch from Week 4. But this time the loser of the first game gets to host. For my SGPN Parlay for Sunday (January 19th): NFL Parlay, I’ve cooked up a Same Game Parlay for what looks like (on paper) to be the tightest game of this round of the playoffs. Let’s go!
SGPN Parlay for Sunday (January 19th): NFL Parlay
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills
Start Time – 6:30 PM EST
The Buffalo Bills were the victims in Round 1 of their battle with the Baltimore Ravens, getting smoked by 25 points on September 29th. But now they get to play host, and the weather in Highmark Stadium tomorrow will be quite inhospitable.
These two teams are so closely matched (at least on paper), that I think the home-field advantage will be the difference in this game. And the home-field advantage is enough to make Buffalo a tiny favorite, in my eyes, and makes Buffalo on the spread the first half of my parlay.
To complete this winning parlay, I’m taking under 51.5 points for the game’s total. They combined for 45 points in their first meeting, which is a good sign for our under. And in the best of circumstances this season, both Buffalo and Baltimore games end right around 51.5 points. The weather – and the stakes – will make tomorrow not conducive to a high-scoring game.
Best Bet: Buffalo +1.5 + Ravens/Bills Under 51.5 Points (+245)
Overall Record: 56-120 (32%)
Profit (based on $100/bet): -($398.00)
Return on Investment: -2%
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