Best Bet For Tuesday (November 5th): College Football Predictions

Best Bet For Tuesday (November 5th): College Football Predictions

We’ve got a quiet Tuesday on the football front tomorrow, with only two Mid-American Conference games to choose from for my 55 straight days of football best bets. Nonetheless, I found a line that I think is exploitable. For my best bet for Tuesday, November 5th: College Football Predictions, we’re headed to Schuemann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana.

 

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Best Bet For Tuesday (November 5th): College Football Predictions

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Ball State Cardinals

Start Time – 8:00 PM EST

The game I’ve settled on is the Ball State Cardinals hosting the Miami (OH) RedHawks. These two teams are only separated by one game in the Mid-American Conference standings (Miami is 3-1, Ball State 2-2). There are also two teams coming off wins last week and looking to keep the momentum going.

I’m going with the home team, Ball State, on the spread as my best bet for tomorrow. Currently the line is Ball State +12, which is too wide in my opinion. Other than non-conference road shellackings by Florida State and James Madison, the Cardinals haven’t lost by more than 12 in a game this season. My calculations, based on Football Reference’s Simple Rating and Ball State’s home-field advantage, have this game pegged at Ball State +6.

Miami is the better team and will probably win, but I think Ball State keeps the beating in the single digits for us.

 Best Bet: Ball State +12 (-110)

 

55 Days of Football Overall Record: 18-13-1 (58%)
Profit (based on $100/bet): $326.14
Return on Investment: 11%

 

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