The UFC continues their UFC Fight Island run this Saturday with another uninspiring event. It’s another weak card, devoid of any real star power. But we care not! We only care about the money, honey. Weak card or not, we can make some money off UFC Fight Night Picks.
Before I continue with my UFC Fight Night Picks for all the fights at UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs Sandhagen, check out this article I recently wrote about Eight UFC Stats That Will Win You Money. I’ll be referring to it during this article, so it’s your homework.
All odds courtesy of MyBookie
UFC Fight Night Picks
Cory Sandhagen (-135) vs Marlon Moraes
A bantamweight clash between two top contenders is our main event on Saturday. And I’m going with the chalk in it. All the key factors point to a win for Cory Sandhagen in this one, and with their differences in gas tanks (Sandhagen’s being good; Moraes’s being bad), there’s a chance Sandhagen gets a late stoppage, either via TKO or submission.
Edson Barboza (-275) vs Makwan Amirkhani
I’m picking the Brazilian in the co-main event, but I’m not digging the -275 line on this. I think it’s a closer fight, at least on paper. So while Barboza is my pick, mostly due to that fact that Amirhani is taking this fight on a couple of weeks’ notice and Barboza has scary power, it wouldn’t shock me if Mr. Finland pulls off an upset.
Marcin Tybura (+120) vs Ben Rothwell
Statistically there should be about three to four underdogs on the night, so I’m pegging Marcin Tybura as a live dog. The striking and grappling stats are on his side, as well as him being four years Rothwell’s junior. Worth the roll of the dice.
Markus Perez (+130) vs Dricus Du Plessis
Let’s ride with another dog in Markus Perez, who will be fighting the debuting Dricus Du Plessis. DDP (bang) will be coming into this fight on very short notice, which is a red flag despite him being a former KSW champion.
Tom Aspinall (-590) vs Alan Boudot
‘The Black Samourai’ will be taking this fight against Tom Aspinall with only a couple of weeks’ advance warning. The UFC newcomer also doesn’t have a very impressive resume, so Aspinall, who is 1-0 in the UFC, is the pick.
Youseff Zalal (-180) vs Ilia Topuria
Another late replacement match here, as Ilia Topuria is yet another UFC newcomer being pressed into emergency duty. ‘The Moroccan Devil’ is a hard guy to face in your UFC debut, regardless of amount of time given to prepare, as he’s already 3-0 in 2020.
Tom Breese (-265) vs KB Bhullar
KB Bhullar will be another guy making his UFC debut, but at least he’s been given proper time to prepare. I don’t think it will matter much, since I expect Tom Breese, who’s 4-2 in the UFC, to be too much for him.
Rodrigo Nascimento (-270) vs Chris Daukaus
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira is 8-0, and has won five straight fights via submission. And Chris Daukaus has been submitted in the past, so you might want to spring for a prop bet on this one.
Impa Kasanganay (-250) vs Joaquin Buckley
‘Tshilobo’ burst onto the UFC scene, winning two fights on Dana White’s Contender series, then winning his UFC debut earlier this summer. That makes him 8-0 as a pro. Make it 9-0 after Saturday, as he’s got all the advantages in his favor for his matchup against Joaquin Buckley.
Tony Kelley (-225) vs Ali AlQaisi
Despite losing his UFC debut, ‘Primetime’ is the pick here. He’s a relentless striker, and should be able to fend off Ali AlQaisi’s takedown attempts to keep this a striking battle.
Omar Morales (-160) vs Giga Chikadze
“Venezuelan Fighter” (could he get a more literal nickname?!) Omar Morales has the striking and grappling numbers in his favor, as well as being slightly bigger than Giga Chikadze, as well as three years younger.
Stephanie Egger (+160) vs Tracy Cortez
Egger makes her UFC debut after a stellar grappling career. She’ll be the bigger, stronger fighter here, as well as the superior grappler. All enough to make her a very live dog.
Tagir Ulanbekov (-440) vs Bruno Silva
I’m going with the newcomer here, but -440 is a ridiculously high number. Still, I expect him to beat Bruno Silva on Saturday’s curtain jerker.
UFC Fight Night Picks Overall Results
Return on Investment: 0.4%