Minnesota heads to Dallas for Sunday Night Football in a game with major playoff implications. This could end up being one of the Wild Card matchups in the NFC playoffs. The Cowboys are leading the NFC East, and Minnesota is chasing Green Bay in the NFC North. Kirk Cousins is having a really good season after struggling in 2018. The narrative around Kirk Cousins has always been his inability to play well against quality teams. He gets another chance Sunday night, and unfortunately, he will be missing his top receiver Adam Thielen due to injury.
Below are my top prop bets for Sunday in Dallas.
Kirk Cousins Under 244.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Cousins has played well this year, but he will be missing his top target Adam Thielen, and Dallas has one of the better defenses in football. The Cowboys allow 17.8 points per game and only 220 yards per game. Since Minnesota signed Cousins last year, they are 0-7-1 on the road against teams with a winning record. Cousins is 1-7 SU in prime-time games in his career. I think he struggles again against the Cowboys.
Stefon Diggs Over 5 Receptions (-113)
Stefon Diggs had three straight games with seven receptions before last week’s game against Kansas City. Diggs finished with one catch for four yards on only five targets in the loss to the Chiefs. Without Adam Thielen in the lineup, Diggs now becomes the number one receiver and should see a good amount of targets. Cousins will look for him often and I expect him to have a much bigger impact this week.
Dallas More First Downs (-138)
The Cowboys are healthy heading into this game. Early in the week It looked like Amari Cooper might miss the game but he is likely to play. Dak Prescott will have all his weapons available, and the offensive line is getting healthier by the day. I think Dallas controls the pace with the running game and Prescott has success with play-action passes. I like the Cowboys to have more first downs Sunday Night.
Dalvin Cook Under 81.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Cook is one of the top running backs in football and has played like it this season. I believe the Cowboys game plan will be to shut down Cook and the Vikings rushing attack and force Cousins to beat them in the passing game. We all know Cousins has struggled in these types of situations in his career and there is no reason to believe he will play well in prime time without his top receiver. The Vikings may try and get Cook involved in the passing game, but he will have a tough time on the ground against the Cowboys defense.