Jets +7.5 is where the guys landed. The Bills were 7.5-point favorites with a total of 51 when they taped on November 11, ahead of a divisional game set for Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET in East Rutherford, NJ. Both hosts took the home dog on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode.
Bills vs Jets Odds
The Bills were 7.5-point favorites over the Jets with a total of 51 when the guys taped on November 11.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Jets +7.5
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Jets +7.5
Ryan started with the schedule. By the guys’ tracking, teams off Monday Night Football are 4-11 ATS. He admitted the sample is small but said the logic holds: a short week and a likely rest deficit. He also wondered how many bettors will decide the Bills defense is fixed after it locked down the Vikings.
The workload in that Vikings game is a big part of the case. Ryan counted 31 carries for James Cook, and Sean added that this is a back-to-back road spot. Sean said Josh Allen looked gassed after the game and was very complimentary of the Vikings defense, which told him it took a lot of work to get the win.
Sean gives the Bills defense some credit. He thinks it is a little better than it was, but not a good defense yet. In his view the last real offense it faced was the Raiders, who put up 30 on the road. He said the Jets move the ball between the 20s and then stall in the red zone, and he noted Josh Allen is actually 4-3 ATS in New York.
Ryan wasn’t as optimistic about the Bills defense, since it stopped bad quarterbacks and the Vikings couldn’t run on it either. He thinks the Jets can run the ball if they stick with it, and he called 51 a crazy number for a total. He could see both teams running and the game landing nowhere near it, so he took the points. Sean went with the home division dog too.
Hear the full breakdown on the NFL Picks Week 10 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our NFL Picks.
Listen to the full episode
More Week 10 NFL Picks
Chiefs vs Falcons
Vikings vs Packers
Seahawks vs Raiders
Rams vs Cardinals
