Some people like to sweat out a bet for 48 hard minutes – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with NBA first FG props. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our first FG bets for March 7. Go here for NBA Championship odds.
Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the most popular player or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these first FG props for March 7.
Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.
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NBA First FG Props – March 7
Brooklyn Nets vs. Detroit Pistons
Tipoff – 7:00 pm EST
Little Caesars Arena – Detroit, Michigan
Broadcast – NBA League Pass
The numbers in this game are pretty close across the board. The Pistons have a 5.8% advantage on first field goals, whereas the Nets have a 8.8% lead on jumpball wins. So with the numbers that close, there’s no clear pick on a team here.
However, one of these teams enters the game white-hot on the early game. The Nets have won six straight tips as a team (all with jumper Nic Claxton). They also have won five of the last six first buckets in that time. The Pistons, meanwhile, have lost each of their last three jumps and scored just one first bucket in that span.
Each of the last two buckets that the Pistons have given up have been to big men on the inside. It just so happens that Nic Claxton has 13 first buckets on the year – which leads the NBA. He hasn’t had one in their last four games, so it’s time to get him back on the board here.
First FG Bet for March 7: Nic Claxton (+550)
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
Tipoff – 10:00 pm EST
Golden 1 Center – Sacramento, California
Broadcast – NBA League Pass
While the other game was close, this game has stats that are quite wide in the same direction. The Spurs has a modest 5.7% lead when it comes to the first bucket. However, the big lead comes on the jump.
Domantas Sabonis continues to be one of the worst consistent jump guys in the league. He’s getting just 28.33% of all jumps. On the other hand, Victor Wembanyama is getting 57.9% of his jumps. With the winner of the jump getting roughly 65% of all first buckets, you have to lean Spurs here.
Wembanyama is the easy pick here as he’s been the the Spurs go-to in every facet of the game as of late. While I do typically like a contrarian play, he’s just had such a lion’s share as of late. He took three of their first four shots last game, and I think he scores first here again.
First FG Bet for March 7: Victor Wembanyama (TBD)
If you’d like even more info to help make your first FG bets for March 7, check out the NBA Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar.
