It was an incredible weekend of the NBA action as we saw history made by LeBron James. My picks went 1-1 on the Saturday card, so no sweat off our backs. I am still firing at 61% for the season, and I hope to get the new week started on the right foot. Below are my March 4, 2024 NBA Picks.
Tipoff – 8:00 pm EST Spread: Bucks -5.5 Total: 226.5
The Milwaukee Bucks have come out after the All-Star Break looking like a completely different team. They are 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS, and defense has led the way where all five games since the break have gone under. Furthermore, the Bucks have been the best defensive-rated team in the entire NBA over the last five games.
Meanwhile, the Clippers are struggling a bit at the moment. Since the break, the Clippers are 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS. Their wins have come against the Wizards, Timberwolves by a point, and Grizzlies.
I will bank on the defensive intensity to continue for the Clippers in this game and expect a lower-scoring game.
Best Bet: Under 226.5
Washington Wizards vs. Utah Jazz
Tipoff: 9:00 pm EST Spread: Jazz -6 Total: 240.5
The Utah Jazz are returning home from a three-game East Coast road trip and will host the Washington Wizards. Typically, the first game back from a road trip is always a tricky spot.
This season, teams playing their first home game since returning from a 3+ game road trip are only covering those games at 41.3%. Further, the Jazz will be without their All-Star Lauri Markannen and defensive anchor Walker Kessler in this game.
The Washington Wizards, to the surprise of some, have been a very good team covering the spread. In fact, the Wizards are 19-12-1 ATS (61.3%). Further, if those games on the road are against non-conference opponents, the Wizards are 7-4 (63.6%) in those spots. I’ll gladly take the points here with the Wizards.
Best Bet: Wizards +6
YTD Record: 43-27-1 (61.3%)
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